Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87f6215cadbd251c6ec5985277a5a204e67ac8b6112810257c0f4de271005e2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 59c | 588$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.74 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 39c | 555.89$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.68 | 629 | 60.3%379 W · 250 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 12c | 424.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,936 | 38.1%737 W · 1,199 L | +296.8wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 56c | 407.51$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.98 | 6,166 | 49.3%3,038 W · 3,128 L | -117.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 27c | 386.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 416 | 51.9%216 W · 200 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…decbbacked Yes | 55c | 365.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed Yes | 39c | 222.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.63 | 251 | 58.6%147 W · 104 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 47c | 219.84$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.88 | 265 | 56.2%149 W · 116 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…52dbbacked No | 48c | 187.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 31c | 180.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f98…e397backed Yes | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…12f7backed No | 59c | 169.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 51c | 154.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…ef20backed No | 68c | 150.81$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 352 | 83.8%295 W · 57 L | +39.0wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…8b5ebacked Yes | 50c | 148.63$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 32c | 141.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 138 | 61.6%85 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 42c | 137.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 582 | 47.8%278 W · 304 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 24c | 132.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 6,905 | 53.1%3,666 W · 3,239 L | +422.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed Yes | 41c | 130.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 47c | 127.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 9,962 | 45.9%4,572 W · 5,390 L | -309.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 1,314 | 54%709 W · 605 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 61c | 119.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 1,268 | 58.4%740 W · 528 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 42c | 118.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 2,201 | 62.2%1,370 W · 831 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…4bf0backed No | 61c | 117.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked No | 59c | 111.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 600 | 32%192 W · 408 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 40c | 111$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 637 | 33.4%213 W · 424 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 782 | 55.4%433 W · 349 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 54c | 99.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 4,009 | 47.3%1,897 W · 2,112 L | +71.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 98.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…adafbacked Yes | 44c | 93.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 50c | 90.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 88.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 3,810 | 65.8%2,508 W · 1,302 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 20c | 87.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 7,233 | 9.3%675 W · 6,558 L | -1,116.1wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 59c | 81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 577 | 57.7%333 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc84e…c63cbacked No | 61c | 81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 49c | 80.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…ccccbacked Yes | 77c | 74.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 96 | 71.9%69 W · 27 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 40c | 65.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 6,891 | 39.4%2,717 W · 4,174 L | +269.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 45c | 62.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 1,335 | 50.9%680 W · 655 L | -35.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 19c | 62.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 646 | 24.5%158 W · 488 L | -19.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,189 | 59.7%1,306 W · 883 L | +26.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked Yes | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 456 | 30%137 W · 319 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…030dbacked No | 34c | 59.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda61…2b5fbacked No | 52c | 58.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 410 | 41.5%170 W · 240 L | +33.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 4,148 | 56.7%2,351 W · 1,797 L | +51.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…32c8backed Yes | 59c | 49.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked No | 44c | 46.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 620 | 44%273 W · 347 L | +25.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…c72dbacked No | 58c | 45.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…f0f7backed Yes | 46c | 45.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…dacdbacked Yes | 40c | 44.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | +32.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 42c | 43.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 4,032 | 35.6%1,436 W · 2,596 L | +42.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 57c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 5,003 | 53.5%2,678 W · 2,325 L | +31.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 41c | 40.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked Yes | 67c | 39.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 447 | 60%268 W · 179 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…9fb8backed Yes | 48c | 39.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 293 | 37.5%110 W · 183 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…f17dbacked No | 57c | 37.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 58c | 37.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 346 | 67.6%234 W · 112 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 61c | 36.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 5,255 | 49.8%2,618 W · 2,637 L | -163.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 60c | 36.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 997 | 57.2%570 W · 427 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 75c | 35.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 632 | 47.3%299 W · 333 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2,176 | 53.1%1,156 W · 1,020 L | +36.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 74c | 34.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 527 | 43.6%230 W · 297 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…6595backed No | 53c | 33.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 241 | 58.5%141 W · 100 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 46c | 28.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 814 | 57.5%468 W · 346 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…9922backed Yes | 77c | 26.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…19c4backed No | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yes | 44c | 25.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 279 | 44.4%124 W · 155 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd358…cfbdbacked Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…35c9backed No | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 197 | 50.8%100 W · 97 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…cd2dbacked Yes | 44c | 24.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…6aa2backed No | 58c | 24.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | -11.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…9ec9backed No | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b8…e849backed No | 62c | 23.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 7,592 | 37.5%2,849 W · 4,743 L | +96.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 46c | 22.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 2,340 | 58.7%1,373 W · 967 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 5,836 | 60%3,502 W · 2,334 L | -112.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed No | 62c | 20.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…c1d0backed No | 60c | 20.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 722 | 33.4%241 W · 481 L | +32.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd886…1746backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 58c | 18.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 941 | 62.3%586 W · 355 L | -24.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1,615 | 61.9%999 W · 616 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 678 | 38.6%262 W · 416 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.