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Tennis · resolved market

Augsburg: Daniel Masur vs Facundo Mena

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Facundo Menaof Daniel Masur, Facundo Mena
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$231,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$271,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Masur31c25,934$8,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,037.219,26736.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L-199.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Facundo Mena57c23,737$13,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,101.6212657.9%73 W · 53 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb399…608ebacked Facundo Mena57c19,391$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,390.565350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Daniel Masur1c15,000$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9962122.2%138 W · 483 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Daniel Masur45c12,403$5,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,551.641,25046.2%578 W · 672 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Daniel Masur42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.998538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30aa…162abacked Facundo Mena57c8,459$4,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,633.331833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Daniel Masur1c7,000$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.94636.3%4 W · 59 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Facundo Mena65c4,598$2,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.031,29556.6%733 W · 562 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Masur39c4,519$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.1911,87743.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L+19.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Daniel Masur15c4,122$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.3663956.5%361 W · 278 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Facundo Mena58c3,999$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.486,70050.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L+267.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Daniel Masur8c3,703$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.421,60624.4%392 W · 1,214 L-41.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Masur40c3,269$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.538,92142.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L-169.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Facundo Mena60c2,914$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.145,07541.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L-83.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Daniel Masur44c2,833$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.6733440.4%135 W · 199 L-14.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Facundo Mena58c2,425$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0194,40752.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L+66.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Facundo Mena54c2,319$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.0674840.9%306 W · 442 L+3.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Daniel Masur45c2,167$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.5832752.3%171 W · 156 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98fe…ffa7backed Daniel Masur13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010449%51 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Facundo Mena55c2,000$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.013,39748.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L-47.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Daniel Masur46c1,917$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.9913928.8%40 W · 99 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5843…e8e1backed Daniel Masur41c1,908$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Facundo Mena80c1,890$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.113,23857.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L+179.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Facundo Mena75c1,821$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.631,81546.5%844 W · 971 L-6.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked Facundo Mena63c1,659$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.6827254.4%148 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee9…1874backed Daniel Masur38c1,494$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Daniel Masur25c1,421$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.872,88247.2%1,360 W · 1,522 L+39.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Daniel Masur43c1,353$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.8845948.8%224 W · 235 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Daniel Masur14c1,132$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4731637.7%119 W · 197 L-25.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeac7…1531backed Daniel Masur15c1,113$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1671533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Facundo Mena59c859.33$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.381,44742.8%620 W · 827 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c57…a7debacked Facundo Mena56c840.23$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.5711448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b96…cea8backed Daniel Masur31c812.8$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507428.4%21 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2c0…5135backed Daniel Masur34c768.25$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.541020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-66.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x425a…6015backed Facundo Mena55c724.6$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.581266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Daniel Masur15c719.26$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.221,12337.2%418 W · 705 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Daniel Masur42c715.46$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,87248.2%902 W · 970 L-36.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f32…0673backed Daniel Masur48c661.38$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.463234.4%11 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Daniel Masur42c660.29$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.3215952.2%83 W · 76 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a8…ad06backed Daniel Masur44c627.84$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.251877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.4wins+0.30per pick48cpaid+67.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc357…3684backed Daniel Masur14c607.51$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888744.8%39 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Daniel Masur42c600$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.737,15739.8%2,848 W · 4,309 L-9.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Daniel Masur24c586.06$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2120443.6%89 W · 115 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Daniel Masur43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21516048.8%78 W · 82 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Daniel Masur27c474.67$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f5…ab8cbacked Daniel Masur38c462.49$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.752740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Daniel Masur30c453.85$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.261,85646.8%868 W · 988 L-55.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a2…a3a9backed Daniel Masur40c451$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.46350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd2c…b707backed Daniel Masur43c448.98$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0612326.8%33 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick29cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Daniel Masur17c433.87$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.334448.8%168 W · 176 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Daniel Masur15c427.01$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0164726.4%171 W · 476 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Daniel Masur43c419.5$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.392,58138.7%999 W · 1,582 L+100.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Facundo Mena61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8440756%228 W · 179 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Daniel Masur42c402.9$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.222,25537.1%836 W · 1,419 L+43.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Facundo Mena78c390.62$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.331,85246.6%863 W · 989 L+19.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x414f…2f42backed Daniel Masur43c383.14$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.521338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Facundo Mena57c349.11$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1231257.4%179 W · 133 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Daniel Masur43c325.92$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.151,11257.9%644 W · 468 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Facundo Mena58c323.83$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.135,48656.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L+232.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Daniel Masur36c299.97$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.491,94744%856 W · 1,091 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Daniel Masur18c262.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4838731.3%121 W · 266 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3622…3facbacked Daniel Masur45c258.85$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.069766%64 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Daniel Masur30c248.58$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6460641.3%250 W · 356 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d71…ca3ebacked Facundo Mena56c239.81$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5213655.1%75 W · 61 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2890…49ebbacked Daniel Masur42c238.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Facundo Mena56c232.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1469239.5%273 W · 419 L-28.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Daniel Masur46c219$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7437147.7%177 W · 194 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7787…bf58backed Daniel Masur14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016445.1%74 W · 90 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Daniel Masur41c212.2$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8722838.2%87 W · 141 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked Daniel Masur43c210.68$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Daniel Masur45c201$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.451,06650.1%534 W · 532 L+38.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Facundo Mena55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.826857.4%39 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Daniel Masur40c177.66$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.061,10449.7%549 W · 555 L+46.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Daniel Masur34c168.57$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.151,52243.9%668 W · 854 L-26.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Facundo Mena61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9349257.9%285 W · 207 L-14.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e1…6b15backed Facundo Mena63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Daniel Masur15c158.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7448835.2%172 W · 316 L-18.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc83d…535cbacked Daniel Masur39c156.28$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.955438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee0…64b1backed Daniel Masur44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605046%23 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d5…e65abacked Daniel Masur39c132.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.289850%49 W · 49 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe366…6de2backed Facundo Mena69c131.51$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.467651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Daniel Masur40c130$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5247740.3%192 W · 285 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe530…ed7bbacked Daniel Masur29c129.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Daniel Masur43c127.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.943,77642.6%1,608 W · 2,168 L-44.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Daniel Masur35c126.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.672,11144.6%941 W · 1,170 L-51.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Facundo Mena65c124.12$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8378055.4%432 W · 348 L+52.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…f571backed Daniel Masur16c115.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.55757.9%33 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Daniel Masur41c115.11$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.849,44444.3%4,188 W · 5,256 L-249.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Daniel Masur47c109.86$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.637,79147.8%3,722 W · 4,069 L+39.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd215…757abacked Daniel Masur45c108.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0331952.7%168 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2659…e15abacked Facundo Mena64c108.25$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.973644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9794…6831backed Daniel Masur46c100.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.253658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Facundo Mena57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4347345.9%217 W · 256 L-1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Daniel Masur44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442,05847.9%986 W · 1,072 L+16.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a6…699dbacked Facundo Mena58c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x018e…c536backed Daniel Masur12c99.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127014.3%10 W · 60 L-19.5wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-73.5%equal weight27-0.21 edge/pick
0x5ac6…e020backed Facundo Mena57c94.96$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8335461%216 W · 138 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78a4…ea47backed Facundo Mena57c92.75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.882548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Daniel Masur34c90.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312,35646.5%1,096 W · 1,260 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.