Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88875b92029e240ab2fbaa7c4188c9e24df5a68a17d62ae420488b3d6976ad4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof L1ga Team, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $377,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed L1ga Team | 22c | 30,450$6,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,587.05 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked L1ga Team | 17c | 20,080$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.68 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 77c | 12,852$9,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.19 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Aurora | 76c | 12,145$9,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.11 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked L1ga Team | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 77c | 9,296$7,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.87 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team | 23c | 8,919$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.86 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Aurora | 78c | 7,000$5,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.5 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Aurora | 79c | 5,929$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.81 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Aurora | 77c | 5,324$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.15 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed L1ga Team | 23c | 4,706$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.36 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Aurora | 75c | 4,223$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.61 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked L1ga Team | 22c | 3,800$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.01 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked L1ga Team | 26c | 3,743$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.17 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 75c | 3,716$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.55 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed L1ga Team | 24c | 3,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team | 18c | 3,341$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.28 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Aurora | 77c | 3,333$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.59 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Aurora | 78c | 3,175$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.5 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked L1ga Team | 23c | 3,036$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.68 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed L1ga Team | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked L1ga Team | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed L1ga Team | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed L1ga Team | 24c | 2,922$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.04 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed L1ga Team | 23c | 2,720$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.93 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked L1ga Team | 23c | 2,640$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.59 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed Aurora | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed L1ga Team | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked L1ga Team | 23c | 2,262$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.42 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed L1ga Team | 23c | 2,221$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.28 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 75c | 2,197$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.44 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed L1ga Team | 24c | 2,195$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.9 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked L1ga Team | 23c | 2,194$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.4 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked L1ga Team | 17c | 2,129$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.22 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…9d89backed Aurora | 75c | 2,100$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Aurora | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed L1ga Team | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Aurora | 76c | 1,939$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.36 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed L1ga Team | 25c | 1,800$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked L1ga Team | 22c | 1,716$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.39 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked L1ga Team | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed L1ga Team | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Aurora | 75c | 1,440$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.96 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Aurora | 79c | 1,384$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.37 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Aurora | 75c | 1,150$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed L1ga Team | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Aurora | 75c | 1,053$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.12 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Aurora | 78c | 1,020$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked L1ga Team | 23c | 1,006$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.65 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed L1ga Team | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed L1ga Team | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed L1ga Team | 15c | 997.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed L1ga Team | 22c | 996.58$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.89 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c3bfbacked Aurora | 80c | 994$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora | 78c | 842.96$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.11 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e0…6ec6backed L1ga Team | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked L1ga Team | 5c | 760$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed L1ga Team | 4c | 741.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Aurora | 77c | 734$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.82 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Aurora | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Aurora | 78c | 699.98$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Aurora | 74c | 670.09$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.6 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Aurora | 77c | 668$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.64 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora | 77c | 649$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.81 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Aurora | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked Aurora | 79c | 598.21$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Aurora | 80c | 550$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed Aurora | 75c | 533.17$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora | 79c | 517.68$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked L1ga Team | 22c | 507.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.19 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Aurora | 76c | 500$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked L1ga Team | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Aurora | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed L1ga Team | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Aurora | 76c | 495$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…e2c4backed Aurora | 79c | 466.22$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.22 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e96…e128backed L1ga Team | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…94c8backed L1ga Team | 19c | 438.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed L1ga Team | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Aurora | 77c | 426.21$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf902…a267backed L1ga Team | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Aurora | 79c | 414.6$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked L1ga Team | 23c | 408.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked L1ga Team | 23c | 395$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Aurora | 75c | 392$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked L1ga Team | 12c | 390$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Aurora | 76c | 383.33$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21cc…54bcbacked L1ga Team | 24c | 383.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed L1ga Team | 23c | 382.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Aurora | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -10.4wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Aurora | 77c | 329.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked L1ga Team | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Aurora | 80c | 296.96$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed L1ga Team | 26c | 285$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Aurora | 78c | 278.26$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Aurora | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…156fbacked L1ga Team | 23c | 261.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Aurora | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Aurora (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group BAurora won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.