Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89fe27f7bf06cd940eaf59ad1e16ca1fabb8d471b916c398b3ba6464772c0a5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 14c | 997.76$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 49c | 508.04$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.35 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 19c | 484.2$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 76c | 466.45$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 6c | 417$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…5844backed Yes | 26c | 380.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.82 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 53c | 348.24$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 340.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 36c | 315.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.07 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed No | 69c | 297.13$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.93 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 29c | 295$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…169dbacked No | 49c | 265.08$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…3f67backed Yes | 63c | 248.09$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 54c | 247.17$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 44c | 217.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked No | 67c | 205.62$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.31 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 26c | 202.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 68c | 197.2$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 47c | 193.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes | 79c | 192.64$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 347 | 48.7%169 W · 178 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 42c | 181.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…7d44backed No | 8c | 171.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed No | 7c | 170.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 30c | 169.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 39c | 167.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 22c | 163.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 162.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9933…db7dbacked Yes | 31c | 159.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 29c | 156.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…05c3backed Yes | 72c | 137.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…bf47backed No | 74c | 135.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 65c | 132.49$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked No | 40c | 125.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 247 | 36%89 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 26c | 113$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 48c | 109.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 10c | 107.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 71c | 99.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed Yes | 34c | 99.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Yes | 30c | 98.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 74c | 97.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 71c | 92.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 35c | 91.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 75c | 88.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 86.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 34c | 84.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…0b84backed Yes | 23c | 82.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 31c | 79.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 27c | 77.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…1445backed Yes | 34c | 76.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 66c | 75.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 42c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1d8ebacked No | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb563…26bfbacked Yes | 69c | 72.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 57c | 71.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 56c | 70.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 35c | 70.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 33c | 68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 28c | 62.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 65c | 62.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…d09cbacked No | 70c | 62.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed No | 65c | 61.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2656…a5b8backed Yes | 33c | 60.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 30c | 59.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 22c | 59.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…9d9fbacked Yes | 34c | 58.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 34c | 56.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69cd…0c69backed Yes | 23c | 56.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 33c | 55.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f30…1f71backed Yes | 69c | 53.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 23c | 53.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…634dbacked Yes | 28c | 52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 74c | 51.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 37c | 50.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…0244backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 60c | 49.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 70c | 49.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 71c | 47.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 38c | 47.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…8f0cbacked Yes | 33c | 45.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9e…9466backed Yes | 25c | 43.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…1640backed Yes | 68c | 43.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +7.3wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…55edbacked Yes | 29c | 40.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 27c | 38.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 37.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 40c | 35.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…87d1backed Yes | 67c | 35.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 68c | 34.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 33.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 72c | 33.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2304…989dbacked No | 37c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 34c | 30.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.