TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Vici Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$287,937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$345,759

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,937 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit60c20,125$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,125.251,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Vici Gaming40c10,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,05069644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming53c9,625$5,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,098.7589741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Vici Gaming35c7,745$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.961,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Spirit42c6,638$2,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,879.4496645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Vici Gaming54c5,928$3,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,205.0696557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit67c5,556$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.111,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit52c5,505$2,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.812,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Team Spirit59c5,063$2,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,095.595168.6%35 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Vici Gaming53c5,046$2,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.1645750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Vici Gaming62c4,526$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.8148954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit65c3,750$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.7480256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked Vici Gaming57c3,302$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.5227143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Team Spirit64c3,257$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.731248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit36c3,100$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.221,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Spirit80c2,831$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.9236851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bb0…7ebfbacked Vici Gaming52c2,794$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked Team Spirit62c2,780$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.6410751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3601…44fbbacked Vici Gaming56c2,669$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016954.4%92 W · 77 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Vici Gaming20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014515.2%22 W · 123 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Spirit55c2,100$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.1792056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Vici Gaming40c2,000$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.81,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Vici Gaming41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82056542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Vici Gaming56c1,994$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.351,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Vici Gaming37c1,897$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70039343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Vici Gaming60c1,824$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.2677256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Vici Gaming61c1,819$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.8735758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Team Spirit37c1,714$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.9415338.6%59 W · 94 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit60c1,684$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.8960349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming50c1,632$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8221,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming49c1,620$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.41,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Spirit55c1,555$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.0356548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Team Spirit78c1,437$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.6830356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit35c1,204$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.251,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit44c1,120$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.182,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Team Spirit60c1,112$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.3955147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b5…54c4backed Vici Gaming55c1,008$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55029240.8%119 W · 173 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Team Spirit50c1,002$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.914443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Team Spirit39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6107936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Vici Gaming15c999.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1280443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Spirit76c999.99$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24045052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Vici Gaming48c998.42$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.041,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Vici Gaming23c991.93$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22548539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Team Spirit63c957.1$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.9154753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bc…a4c6backed Team Spirit32c935.96$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.748161.7%50 W · 31 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Spirit22c923.89$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.831,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Spirit52c920$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.8332652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Vici Gaming37c917.46$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.4672035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89bd…cc95backed Vici Gaming42c915$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.453844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Vici Gaming46c895.86$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.516541.2%68 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe110…ade6backed Vici Gaming55c818.18$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Spirit63c800$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9636547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Team Spirit63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6561745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Spirit44c750$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.551364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Vici Gaming19c734$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9535032.3%113 W · 237 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Team Spirit67c695.95$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6243344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit38c686.94$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.971,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Team Spirit53c666.97$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.952958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6117…2fafbacked Vici Gaming66c665.05$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.0617373.4%127 W · 46 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Vici Gaming25c661.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.515930.5%18 W · 41 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Vici Gaming34c652$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1688539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Vici Gaming55c649.91$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.0220145.3%91 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed Team Spirit73c628.58$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.922853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit61c625.79$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.8279959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Vici Gaming34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20474549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Vici Gaming35c580$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20395342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Vici Gaming57c571.96$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.161,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Spirit53c547.16$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.21,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3621…2d2dbacked Team Spirit3c532.94$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.275558.2%32 W · 23 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+65.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed Team Spirit39c509.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.132733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked Team Spirit58c501.5$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.539650%48 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Team Spirit51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24551544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Spirit35c499.99$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.6653764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Vici Gaming29c487.65$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6596245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Vici Gaming23c475.74$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1235430.5%108 W · 246 L-27.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Team Spirit37c472.38$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.531835.8%114 W · 204 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Team Spirit34c465.04$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.9340051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming42c456.12$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.181,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Spirit65c453.88$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5361456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e4…2c05backed Team Spirit67c444.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9611777.8%91 W · 26 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Spirit43c443.03$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.753139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Vici Gaming62c437$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.8360552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Team Spirit73c409$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.435952.5%31 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Vici Gaming45c408.33$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7543049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Team Spirit16c408.32$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.0327636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Vici Gaming43c405.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.213528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7253…5fa2backed Team Spirit12c402.43$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.75850%29 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Vici Gaming59c400$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4860251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Team Spirit35c399.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.998918%16 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Spirit66c388$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9786659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Vici Gaming26c387.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3965337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Spirit53c382.23$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18065647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Vici Gaming39c380.54$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x059b…efc2backed Vici Gaming40c370$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c1…8174backed Vici Gaming54c366.11$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5324947.8%119 W · 130 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd206…bd2abacked Team Spirit59c365.3$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5215957.2%91 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit38c343.71$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9599844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Vici Gaming40c338.47$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3937745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b0…2aaebacked Team Spirit35c338$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.162352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Spirit60c332.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5621650.9%110 W · 106 L-25.3wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-21.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.