Dota2 · resolved market
BetBoom Team to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aec7f4dbf6851d3c6a400db83e4a848f748bab7edcdaa7329bcd6f790e8a509
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 47c | 3,291$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.3 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yes | 38c | 2,975$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.37 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 47c | 2,200$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.36 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 63c | 1,532$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.16 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 62c | 1,311$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.98 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Yes | 68c | 1,115$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.75 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 35c | 1,049$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.78 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 58c | 800$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.31 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed No | 21c | 750$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 30c | 728.69$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.75 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Yes | 70c | 717$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.1 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 22c | 706.23$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.31 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed No | 30c | 583.1$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Yes | 70c | 564.54$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.36 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2776…4ecbbacked Yes | 58c | 508$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.8 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Yes | 63c | 506.6$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.44 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed No | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 46c | 402.6$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.34 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 32c | 366.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 30c | 350$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Yes | 53c | 319.58$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed No | 33c | 302.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked No | 21c | 300.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb521…34aebacked Yes | 69c | 299.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked Yes | 65c | 288$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Yes | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 80c | 198$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 20c | 148.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…6aa1backed No | 29c | 145.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 20c | 102.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 71c | 92.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…5146backed Yes | 71c | 91.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 253 | 56.5%143 W · 110 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 68c | 88.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 463 | 54.6%253 W · 210 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked No | 29c | 83.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8e…2555backed No | 24c | 80.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Yes | 65c | 75.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 33c | 74.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Yes | 66c | 67.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes | 79c | 63.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Yes | 68c | 62.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 32c | 52.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Yes | 36c | 47.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31d9…e73dbacked Yes | 65c | 46.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 32c | 40.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked No | 30c | 36.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed No | 35c | 36.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 191 | 56%107 W · 84 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…ec81backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 120 | 73.3%88 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked No | 30c | 35.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Yes | 37c | 33.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…c186backed Yes | 65c | 26.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 80c | 24.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Yes | 63c | 23.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 67c | 22.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…1813backed Yes | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BetBoom Team to win 2-0?this page
- Poor Rangers to win 2-0?No won
- Poor Rangers vs BetBoom Team: Draw (1-1)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.