Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c5b488a6477deb371dea14f5efb890e39ca9b685f6d66f44ad31b825017662e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 5c | 2,840$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.98 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…4883backed No | 22c | 1,532$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.25 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 1c | 1,341$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 6c | 1,170$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…d270backed No | 9c | 945.31$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 4c | 925.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed No | 67c | 920.45$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.44 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed No | 5c | 718.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 25c | 708.59$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.78 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…8dcabacked No | 2c | 551.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 71c | 463.1$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.23 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 27c | 364.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.15 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…92f1backed No | 3c | 363.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 12c | 355.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a5…a647backed Yes | 35c | 351.45$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.6 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 50c | 351.07$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.96 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 50c | 324.96$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 6c | 314.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 70 | 8.6%6 W · 64 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 63c | 303.34$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.53 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 79c | 299.78$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 226.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed No | 47c | 223.22$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 64c | 200.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 78c | 186.85$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.26 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 64c | 179.22$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed Yes | 79c | 173.48$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…7a17backed Yes | 79c | 170.83$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 29c | 169.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 34c | 160.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e37abacked No | 24c | 158.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 63c | 145.94$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 55c | 126.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…8daabacked No | 64c | 124.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 43c | 117.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 12c | 110.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fec…9d17backed Yes | 37c | 101.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…7217backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 285 | 17.9%51 W · 234 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…be31backed Yes | 26c | 95.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe009…121ebacked Yes | 26c | 89.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fb…ae7bbacked Yes | 18c | 89.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…ed07backed Yes | 36c | 88.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 83.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 48c | 81.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 51c | 76.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…758ebacked Yes | 27c | 70.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 63c | 69.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 78c | 69.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 25c | 69.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf7…ebeabacked Yes | 28c | 69.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 25c | 68.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 68c | 65.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf096…28a8backed Yes | 36c | 64.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa3…0d65backed Yes | 78c | 63.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9a…18f9backed Yes | 45c | 61.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 29c | 55.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 47c | 54.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff3…a737backed Yes | 25c | 53.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ae…890cbacked Yes | 25c | 51.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…89f5backed Yes | 37c | 50.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…c331backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…108fbacked Yes | 31c | 49.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…75b8backed No | 49c | 48.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…f424backed Yes | 62c | 46.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed Yes | 25c | 46.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c0…646ebacked No | 62c | 44.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 74c | 44.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…1fd8backed Yes | 35c | 43.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 33c | 40.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 77c | 39.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 72c | 38.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 74c | 37.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 63c | 35.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa542…3f6cbacked No | 54c | 35.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf1…b5d1backed Yes | 65c | 33.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +176.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 42c | 32.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…1b64backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 68c | 25.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 77c | 24.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…1b6ebacked Yes | 46c | 24.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…0b65backed No | 66c | 23.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…014fbacked Yes | 75c | 22.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c2…0728backed No | 65c | 21.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed No | 66c | 21.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 65c | 20.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3fc9backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5e…5441backed No | 66c | 18.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481c…2325backed Yes | 57c | 18.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 123 | 65%80 W · 43 L | +12.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…a6dcbacked No | 75c | 16.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 77c | 16.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…aff0backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.