Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c8ea5c65a0babd96470589f7fa14b9f2f17fa93b4b26ac0c6a6d5dc7bc910a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 43c | 651.7$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.56 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 41c | 358.93$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.93 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 58c | 356.17$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.28 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 55c | 285.98$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.59 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb2…0c7abacked No | 47c | 214.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +142.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6251…8f7bbacked No | 10c | 206.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 45c | 200.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 56c | 176.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 43c | 154.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 9c | 146.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 58c | 145.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…ab1abacked No | 59c | 128.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 254 | 66.9%170 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 62c | 119.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 12c | 111$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 46c | 110.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 109.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 50c | 109.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 29c | 105.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…a763backed No | 56c | 103.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 49c | 101.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 44c | 99.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 55c | 97.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 47c | 96.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 49c | 94.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 44c | 88.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 55c | 78.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 50c | 74.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 51c | 69.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed Yes | 41c | 66.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 26c | 63.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 16c | 63.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…a235backed Yes | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7603…2276backed No | 50c | 61.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 146 | 74.7%109 W · 37 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 52c | 61.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 67c | 57.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b82…b217backed Yes | 47c | 57.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 19c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 38c | 51.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 50c | 49.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…6f1bbacked Yes | 54c | 48.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…4dadbacked Yes | 48c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 60c | 42.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c92…7438backed Yes | 55c | 41.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65f…6bf1backed Yes | 51c | 40.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…478abacked No | 37c | 38.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…603fbacked No | 56c | 37.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 53c | 37.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 299 | 41.1%123 W · 176 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1f…af40backed Yes | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 63c | 36.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 38c | 35.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ed…d51bbacked Yes | 38c | 34.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…be24backed No | 46c | 33.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…2022backed No | 60c | 33.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…0408backed Yes | 60c | 33.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 48c | 31.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…05ebbacked No | 56c | 30.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 57c | 30.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0eb…9b18backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 45c | 29.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 65c | 29.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked Yes | 63c | 27.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be9…446ebacked Yes | 52c | 26.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…d845backed Yes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 52c | 25.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f32cbacked No | 54c | 23.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…4c72backed No | 65c | 22.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 49c | 20.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2a…967bbacked Yes | 49c | 20.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…f3d2backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 56c | 19.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…fd73backed No | 52c | 19.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b4…a38abacked No | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.