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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Lavked (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
INOX Divisionof INOX Division, Lavked
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,034
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,034 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked INOX Division71c17,479$12,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,026.7679752.7%420 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed INOX Division73c6,336$4,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.7371251.7%368 W · 344 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Lavked27c5,131$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.321,18448%568 W · 616 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked INOX Division72c5,110$3,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.9920051%102 W · 98 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd2…6657backed INOX Division73c3,821$2,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.732157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Lavked28c3,600$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.171,44433.4%482 W · 962 L+39.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Lavked26c3,109$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.3762441.7%260 W · 364 L-20.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Lavked26c3,050$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed INOX Division64c2,229$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.321,71053.2%909 W · 801 L+65.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcefd…d6aabacked Lavked27c1,791$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.77035.7%25 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed INOX Division73c1,395$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.6261448.4%297 W · 317 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Lavked29c1,258$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.0635340.2%142 W · 211 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4e…5c01backed Lavked36c1,237$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.46757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed Lavked28c1,155$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.856946.4%32 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa61d…fefbbacked Lavked27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001520%3 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Lavked30c900$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27013939.6%55 W · 84 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf1…3018backed Lavked27c862.96$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2336137.7%23 W · 38 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked Lavked30c821.34$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.563040%12 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Lavked30c784$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.22,73230.3%829 W · 1,903 L-120.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked INOX Division67c780.73$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.7711848.3%57 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x732f…f245backed Lavked30c758$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.42740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b51…cf1ebacked Lavked27c688.89$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1864334.9%15 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lavked28c660.56$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.111,62929.8%485 W · 1,144 L-90.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02f8…2239backed Lavked34c653$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.02933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Lavked27c607$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8922042.7%94 W · 126 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4378…1bdebacked Lavked30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d1d…c307backed Lavked36c594.67$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.088225.6%21 W · 61 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1242…9077backed Lavked29c558.72$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0312743.3%55 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad08…c58bbacked Lavked30c553$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.93948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0146…4d51backed Lavked30c553$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.94850%24 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e8…ebb7backed Lavked28c539.29$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Lavked30c485$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.185043.1%366 W · 484 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Lavked31c473$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.33,70629.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L-297.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda6e…1a11backed Lavked29c468.9$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.29728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked INOX Division64c449.98$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9911938.7%46 W · 73 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Lavked30c434.23$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2736825.5%94 W · 274 L-18.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed INOX Division73c411.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1421759.9%130 W · 87 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d39…5408backed INOX Division71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1164450%22 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x847c…1aa1backed Lavked29c377.51$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.481127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Lavked29c370.76$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6825140.2%101 W · 150 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f83…3af9backed Lavked27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af0…fea7backed Lavked36c346.36$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.693135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Lavked28c346.25$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9546842.7%200 W · 268 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24a…8382backed Lavked29c302.54$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7415147.7%72 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed INOX Division74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7815949.7%79 W · 80 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed INOX Division73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811,05149%515 W · 536 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c5c…1cf7backed Lavked36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked INOX Division71c299.6$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.885,19455.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L+131.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Lavked30c293.81$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.722045%99 W · 121 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Lavked36c291.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9436547.4%173 W · 192 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed INOX Division64c285$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.638650.5%195 W · 191 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18dd…cd39backed Lavked27c277.78$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed INOX Division73c273.02$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7163454.6%346 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed INOX Division73c272.6$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.613869.6%96 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Lavked27c262$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.746342.9%27 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce7f…9bd0backed Lavked35c260$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcce…c920backed INOX Division79c256.26$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2619362.2%120 W · 73 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked INOX Division72c249.47$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8523258.2%135 W · 97 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Lavked30c243.05$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3585051.8%440 W · 410 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed INOX Division71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.273959%23 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae22…3ab3backed Lavked28c208.28$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.44845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xace1…f428backed Lavked31c207.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.42714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0760…80f8backed Lavked29c205.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.572817.9%5 W · 23 L-9.1wins-0.32per pick50cpaid-64.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Lavked30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+43.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed INOX Division73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5410158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Lavked27c195$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.651,11037.5%416 W · 694 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fc…f032backed INOX Division73c185.96$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.341747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf01c…d6b8backed Lavked27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Lavked28c184.61$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6920945.5%95 W · 114 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95e…102abacked Lavked33c178.48$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.49750.5%49 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45da…72febacked Lavked27c174.73$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.187545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf953…2f1abacked Lavked26c168.9$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.911330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd4…035bbacked Lavked30c161.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.571553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…d11bbacked Lavked36c161.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-45.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa28d…83bfbacked Lavked30c160$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Lavked26c159.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5923328.8%67 W · 166 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x072e…df3abacked Lavked27c154.91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.833644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Lavked27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51,06639.7%423 W · 643 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed INOX Division64c149.9$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.742555.3%235 W · 190 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d25…0f79backed INOX Division67c142.63$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.637051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked INOX Division72c138.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8913950.4%70 W · 69 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked25c131.66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.664,87943.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L-93.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Lavked27c131.02$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.94654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90f9…cf3cbacked Lavked27c130$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7fe…b4e9backed Lavked26c127.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.087761%47 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed Lavked36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458235.4%29 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Lavked36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,49652.9%791 W · 705 L+30.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaff…524abacked Lavked30c119.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac8…f0a3backed Lavked30c115.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed INOX Division71c115.25$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.422,69752.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L+30.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed INOX Division65c114.62$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1252155.1%287 W · 234 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x543d…3302backed Lavked29c111.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa005…abb1backed INOX Division64c110.8$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8923952.7%126 W · 113 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…869ebacked Lavked35c109$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.154944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Lavked11c107.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.155,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc222…f6ccbacked Lavked26c102.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.784738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa187…aa65backed INOX Division78c102.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.672055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lavked31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5184342.2%356 W · 487 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Lavked26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610451%53 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed INOX Division74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2637856.9%215 W · 163 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.