NFL · resolved market
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2b89111c4817d46fdf43d308c49b563983a84f2b8558425963ef61296c57206
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buccaneersof Seahawks, Buccaneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Seahawks | 51c | 22,036$11,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,213.2 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…1f51backed Buccaneers | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Buccaneers | 49c | 14,687$7,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,490.18 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Buccaneers | 49c | 14,500$7,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,394.9 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Seahawks | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Seahawks | 50c | 8,162$4,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080.78 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Seahawks | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Seahawks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Buccaneers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Buccaneers | 49c | 3,530$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.39 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Seahawks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…8d9dbacked Seahawks | 52c | 1,907$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Buccaneers | 51c | 1,470$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.3 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Seahawks | 48c | 1,269$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.29 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Buccaneers | 48c | 1,035$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.96 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Buccaneers | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Seahawks | 50c | 836.64$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.32 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Buccaneers | 52c | 582.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.31 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Buccaneers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Buccaneers | 49c | 513.21$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.7 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Buccaneers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Seahawks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Buccaneers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Buccaneers | 59c | 355.22$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.64 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Seahawks | 51c | 320$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Buccaneers | 48c | 305.54$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.26 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Buccaneers | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Seahawks | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Seahawks | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81b6…9c1fbacked Buccaneers | 50c | 216.44$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Seahawks | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Seahawks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1527…6cb1backed Seahawks | 51c | 151$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Buccaneers | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc286…d936backed Seahawks | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Seahawks | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Seahawks | 51c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Seahawks | 50c | 77.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d89…9ddfbacked Seahawks | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -6.6wins | -0.47per pick | 62cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Buccaneers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Buccaneers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Seahawks | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f68…0e4bbacked Seahawks | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Buccaneers | 49c | 47.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…7239backed Seahawks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…d9f6backed Buccaneers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Buccaneers | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Buccaneers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…2a91backed Seahawks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Seahawks | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fc…5d5bbacked Buccaneers | 51c | 32.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Seahawks | 51c | 30.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Buccaneers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a45…36dcbacked Seahawks | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…0f2dbacked Seahawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…e85ebacked Seahawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8699…dcb5backed Buccaneers | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a4…5901backed Buccaneers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Buccaneers | 51c | 19.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)this page
- Buccaneers vs. SeahawksBuccaneers won
- Buccaneers vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5Over won
- Buccaneers vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5Over won
- Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)Buccaneers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.