Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa548a6ceed536991f783f224763cbba9ecfffe82a18d541213733012407758d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 34c | 771.76$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.74 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a8…c5b9backed No | 79c | 541.86$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.72 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 308.7$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.05 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 26c | 266.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 26c | 236.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.52 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…9d10backed No | 48c | 190.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 188$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.11 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 25c | 178.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 67c | 171.46$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 34c | 167$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 33c | 151.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 43c | 150.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b2…4edbbacked Yes | 37c | 149.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 67c | 147.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 31c | 139.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…3eb7backed Yes | 25c | 116.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 26c | 114.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 70c | 111.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 39c | 106.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 39c | 104.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 36c | 101.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 33c | 101.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 30c | 99.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…73f7backed No | 72c | 98.69$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 252 | 61.9%156 W · 96 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 59c | 98.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 79c | 98.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…dc2ebacked No | 68c | 92.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 284 | 41.5%118 W · 166 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 91.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 65c | 90.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 22c | 87.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked No | 68c | 79.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 34c | 79.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…c66fbacked Yes | 51c | 79.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 66c | 75.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 29c | 75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 35c | 74.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 70c | 70.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked No | 41c | 70.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 65c | 65.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a5…132bbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 66c | 56.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…b81fbacked Yes | 30c | 56.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…00b2backed Yes | 30c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 145 | 24.1%35 W · 110 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 64c | 54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 65c | 54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 71c | 47.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 74c | 46.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…594abacked Yes | 36c | 46.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 46c | 46.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 61c | 44.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…9a5cbacked Yes | 25c | 42.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 33c | 41.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 35c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 807 | 35.4%286 W · 521 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 65c | 38.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 49c | 37.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…dbffbacked Yes | 39c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…7cb8backed Yes | 78c | 36.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 45c | 36.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 74c | 36.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 74c | 36.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 35c | 35.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 35c | 34.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 68c | 30.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec42…5ffbbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 151 | 76.8%116 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 67c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 65c | 27.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf287…40e1backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed No | 74c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 64c | 25.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…87c9backed No | 77c | 25.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d42…a046backed No | 48c | 24.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…8f82backed No | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed No | 75c | 21.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…cb91backed No | 70c | 21.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…f8bfbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 54c | 19.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 73c | 19.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 63c | 17.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558b…f41bbacked No | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 286 | 60.8%174 W · 112 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 70c | 15.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 70c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 41°C or higher on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.