Movies · resolved market
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11.5m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa64d217a3280b48286a7f238ca306f0a36d77c447eff0192698e67a0e436575b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,175 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 0c | 10,323$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 1,045$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 31c | 703.67$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.71 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 21c | 601.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 7c | 499.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 396.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 345.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 74c | 258$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 23c | 220.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 5c | 218.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 70c | 208.29$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d79…268fbacked Yes | 26c | 192.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 13c | 163.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 108 | 14.8%16 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…a4e9backed Yes | 27c | 159.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 29c | 153.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 20c | 135.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 68c | 133.06$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked Yes | 25c | 120.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…601abacked Yes | 24c | 114.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…f566backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 18c | 75.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…72cdbacked Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked Yes | 28c | 58.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 19c | 56.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 23c | 49.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037c…3fa0backed Yes | 28c | 39.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed No | 78c | 27.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed No | 80c | 24.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…a576backed No | 79c | 24.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 23.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked No | 70c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…2bafbacked No | 80c | 13.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11.5m?this page
- Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11.5m and 13m?No won
- Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m?No won
- Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 10m?Yes won
- Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?No won
- Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.