World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae41e36ec1d1a8bcbee32e494f29b66e8ca776106f1da77c511d1c540b374ad5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 54c | 884.61$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 44c | 702.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.29 | 309 | 44%136 W · 173 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 32c | 588.02$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.08 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 45c | 360.86$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.15 | 256 | 52%133 W · 123 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 10c | 347.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +14.6wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 41c | 344.49$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.62 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…c4f6backed Yes | 59c | 336.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.87 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 15c | 263.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 45c | 235.46$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…ccccbacked Yes | 76c | 213.18$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 59c | 177.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 59c | 174.51$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 47c | 149.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 48c | 143.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 47c | 132.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 50c | 130.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 471 | 37.6%177 W · 294 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 47c | 126.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…d5b4backed No | 38c | 125$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…7df1backed Yes | 56c | 118.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 50c | 115$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…d9a9backed Yes | 51c | 114$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 109$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…32c8backed Yes | 54c | 107.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 15c | 102.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 398 | 13.8%55 W · 343 L | -72.7wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7fad…242fbacked No | 49c | 102.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 44c | 101.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked Yes | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 58c | 94.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 20c | 93.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 553 | 51.2%283 W · 270 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 25c | 89.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed No | 45c | 88.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 46c | 83.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 22c | 82.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 50c | 81.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 59c | 81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 39c | 79.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 42c | 78.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 436 | 49.5%216 W · 220 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 43c | 77.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 22c | 76.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 179 | 52%93 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 37c | 75.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 50c | 75.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 53c | 74.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d60…d955backed No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 69.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 52c | 69.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed Yes | 78c | 66.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked No | 49c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 44c | 61.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 32c | 60.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 55c | 59.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 41c | 59.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 67c | 59.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked No | 66c | 54.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x550e…94dbbacked Yes | 45c | 52.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 36c | 52.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked No | 64c | 52.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90b…da7cbacked Yes | 53c | 47.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 35c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 374 | 58%217 W · 157 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d88…6adebacked Yes | 61c | 44.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 50c | 43.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87e…acd3backed No | 40c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 54c | 41.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 44c | 41.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 164 | 55.5%91 W · 73 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…93b2backed No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 50c | 40.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 463 | 29.4%136 W · 327 L | -69.9wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…814abacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed No | 47c | 38.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 41c | 38.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…c32abacked Yes | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402f…6d99backed Yes | 55c | 36.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…8bfebacked Yes | 57c | 36.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 63cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 42c | 35.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 47c | 34.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbc…d2e1backed No | 42c | 32.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 46c | 32.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 60c | 32.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1,350 | 44.4%600 W · 750 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 55c | 30.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 59c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 198 | 69.2%137 W · 61 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed No | 64c | 26.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a5…1958backed Yes | 62c | 25.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 47c | 25.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 72 | 77.8%56 W · 16 L | +10.9wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 47c | 24.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 54c | 23.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…5839backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…34e7backed No | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…f0a1backed Yes | 49c | 22.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 62c | 21.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.