TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Canadiens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Flyers, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Flyers38c13,486$5,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,124.8536242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Canadiens62c11,048$6,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,198.2417448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Flyers38c3,769$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.8449351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Canadiens62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.8127958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Canadiens61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Flyers38c1,996$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.5864242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flyers32c1,812$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.73,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens58c1,684$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.991,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Canadiens62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.915261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Canadiens33c1,552$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.781,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e24…15e6backed Canadiens61c1,503$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.171457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Flyers39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5854242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers38c1,421$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.941,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Flyers38c1,326$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7337738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Flyers42c1,298$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.61,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers39c1,245$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.481,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens72c1,048$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.961,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Canadiens48c1,045$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.7410546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Canadiens64c1,000$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36385148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Canadiens62c892.63$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.4784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Canadiens62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1909064.4%58 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Flyers38c495.5$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2913845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Canadiens61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.89955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Flyers36c486.97$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3110627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Canadiens61c421.69$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.4611951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46cd…fde9backed Canadiens63c412.7$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flyers37c409.17$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3979251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Flyers39c390$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0830549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Canadiens61c351.83$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6920649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Canadiens63c333$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3250857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8012…2e31backed Flyers38c259.66$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flyers40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Canadiens41c244.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.458451.2%43 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Flyers67c237.67$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7323761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Flyers38c237.13$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1129748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd3…af0ebacked Flyers68c211.76$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442544%11 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers36c200.69$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Canadiens48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10410127.7%28 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Flyers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7850049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8896…7d78backed Canadiens63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.737071.4%50 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea6…0d85backed Flyers39c134.62$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7e2…9e5cbacked Flyers38c134.39$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.07475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+66%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb5…510dbacked Canadiens44c131.37$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0c1…d033backed Flyers38c129.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe432…01d8backed Canadiens62c129.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.03933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf665…8708backed Flyers39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Flyers40c126.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f15…5fe8backed Flyers39c124.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…9eb6backed Canadiens63c105.68$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29cd…15c4backed Canadiens63c103.87$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.431963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc970…a19bbacked Canadiens63c103.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.178740.2%35 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Canadiens62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3835154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Canadiens61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3973157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Flyers56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567651.3%39 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Canadiens61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdf…18a6backed Canadiens62c98.69$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb29…3bc6backed Canadiens63c98.29$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85cd…febebacked Flyers38c91.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.662347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aee…b3e3backed Canadiens63c90.51$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Canadiens42c90$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.211352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f4…0336backed Flyers58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.211248.2%54 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a3e…271dbacked Canadiens62c88.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6c…a5bfbacked Flyers38c88.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.512458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x023d…82f1backed Canadiens62c86.84$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337100%7 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf641…7287backed Canadiens63c85.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a5…63a5backed Canadiens63c84.7$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+33%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab9…ae8ebacked Canadiens63c84.22$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a5b…07f1backed Canadiens63c83.03$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.722259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8843…2e85backed Flyers38c82.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.38728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-53%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf07b…60a3backed Canadiens61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.974257.1%24 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Flyers37c80.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9760549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf88e…e735backed Canadiens63c80.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Flyers37c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.228440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x322f…9372backed Canadiens62c77.79$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb1…8e32backed Canadiens63c77.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4fc…8dc7backed Canadiens62c77.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26a9…b18cbacked Flyers38c74.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.42450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47be…1141backed Canadiens63c74.51$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.57580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9e3…d01ebacked Flyers38c72.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.69875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Canadiens63c70$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.926059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Canadiens75c69.73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2938744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5240backed Flyers38c69.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.412240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa56f…7bbdbacked Canadiens63c68.9$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.49650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…1387backed Canadiens63c68.33$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.332259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Canadiens61c66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7420861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Canadiens62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5217363%109 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc39d…d87fbacked Flyers39c64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.961926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Flyers39c63.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4a6…6d23backed Canadiens63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4928853.1%153 W · 135 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad93…c030backed Canadiens63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.497251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddca…a82cbacked Canadiens63c62.48$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a7…143bbacked Flyers38c56.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.642050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Flyers39c56.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0231248.4%151 W · 161 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef93…79f2backed Canadiens63c55.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.531957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5961…d0d5backed Flyers38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205337.7%20 W · 33 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x35c5…e14bbacked Canadiens55c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.712744.9%57 W · 70 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x500a…a800backed Canadiens51c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.76558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8fbcbacked Flyers38c47.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.12441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dce…a350backed Canadiens63c46.17$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.08875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.