Fifa International · resolved market
Germany to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb157ef635f821c9f5856d8e378f86c23ac38c4a363f675da429586cfa9a6a82a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cfa…e234backed No | 49c | 4,000$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 2,917$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 40c | 2,283$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.09 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked No | 46c | 1,855$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.26 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe250…ea7abacked Yes | 53c | 1,832$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.13 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…f79dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,800$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 58c | 1,593$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.81 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 51c | 1,001$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.49 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 44c | 999.96$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.98 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 52c | 852$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.96 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 51c | 721.55$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.56 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 37c | 482.31$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.15 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 61c | 447.18$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.61 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 38c | 417.1$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.47 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked No | 46c | 405.76$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.65 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed No | 47c | 394.76$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.54 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 43c | 378.71$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.84 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 56c | 373$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 38c | 337.38$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.65 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 291.89$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…1847backed Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 44c | 284$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 74c | 283.38$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…f1b2backed Yes | 55c | 266$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 211.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 51c | 210$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 39c | 200.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0720backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 39c | 194.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe050…ed54backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6591…9cd0backed Yes | 54c | 161$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 137.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea0…4e3abacked Yes | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8c…b2a2backed Yes | 53c | 94.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3a…bdffbacked Yes | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed No | 41c | 84.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 47c | 78.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 41c | 71.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 45c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddec…caeabacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 44c | 45.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 45c | 41.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 46c | 39.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6017…1d1bbacked Yes | 56c | 35.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a13…588fbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab8…3cecbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 44c | 34.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…7ee8backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b5…ea26backed Yes | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…a87ebacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…98f4backed Yes | 57c | 29.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b2…f04cbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +45%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…208cbacked Yes | 61c | 22.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 52c | 19.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany to win the second half?this page
- Côte d'Ivoire to win the second half?No won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.