South American Leagues · resolved market
CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1b9f6f01fddeb1017feb0ebd187a3437344d337fa9e52a14c5780fbb8872511
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc73b…f046backed Over | 18c | 7,207$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,894.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 68c | 2,319$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.16 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 47c | 2,023$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.66 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 67c | 1,913$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.9 | 2,608 | 39.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L | -29.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 65c | 1,612$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.68 | 2,376 | 34.7%824 W · 1,552 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 61c | 1,358$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 1,323 | 42.8%566 W · 757 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 216 | 47.2%102 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 1,077$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.49 | 5,831 | 45.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L | +99.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 67c | 843$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.19 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 28c | 690.03$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.01 | 323 | 35.9%116 W · 207 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Under | 13c | 638.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 71c | 504.72$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.67 | 197 | 55.8%110 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 13c | 428.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 67c | 351.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 2,015 | 51.4%1,036 W · 979 L | +44.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Over | 16c | 313.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 20cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Over | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 60 | 3.3%2 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 67c | 297.46$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.16 | 3,817 | 38.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 26c | 170.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Over | 16c | 137.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.24 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked Over | 59c | 135.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 77c | 127.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 74c | 124.76$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 1,688 | 50.8%857 W · 831 L | -4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 30c | 78.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 167 | 49.7%83 W · 84 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Over | 80c | 77.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Over | 17c | 73.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 30c | 69.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…6d8dbacked Over | 17c | 69.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 65.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 501 | 41.5%208 W · 293 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 19c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 875 | 21.3%186 W · 689 L | -83.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…2606backed Over | 67c | 57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 74c | 55.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…a57cbacked Over | 51c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2050…960bbacked Over | 43c | 37.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…1eb9backed Over | 43c | 37.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…0123backed Over | 50c | 36.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…f766backed Over | 43c | 35.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2,177 | 43.5%948 W · 1,229 L | -57.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x667c…f8a3backed Under | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 70c | 28.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2f…dc8fbacked Over | 68c | 27.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e1…3908backed Over | 64c | 26.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x618e…7b8abacked Over | 65c | 24.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…d463backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 337 | 58.5%197 W · 140 L | +32.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 71c | 20.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 728 | 50.4%367 W · 361 L | -25.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Over | 68c | 20.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 68c | 19.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Over | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5this page
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: CA River Plate O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Independiente Santa Fe O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)Independiente Santa Fe won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)Independiente Santa Fe won
- Spread: Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5)CA River Plate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.