South American Leagues · resolved market
CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90d422d0442eb885186393fed1bd58c1872b01e009c56b8be19dcd220840e6ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 11c | 5,998$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,338.31 | 519 | 35.5%184 W · 335 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed No | 67c | 4,400$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 32c | 2,102$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.59 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 27c | 1,261$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.24 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 38c | 1,058$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.15 | 1,703 | 52%886 W · 817 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 878.87$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.05 | 2,608 | 39.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L | -29.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 630.6$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.27 | 1,489 | 37.4%557 W · 932 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 32c | 600$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 216 | 47.2%102 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 555.87$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 2,015 | 51.4%1,036 W · 979 L | +44.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…f046backed Yes | 11c | 476$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 12c | 299.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.39 | 60 | 3.3%2 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked No | 66c | 240$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 34c | 228.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.13 | 723 | 36.9%267 W · 456 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed No | 64c | 143$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 65c | 137.41$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.71 | 441 | 61.7%272 W · 169 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 66c | 134.61$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 1,308 | 53.7%702 W · 606 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 36c | 127.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 3,817 | 38.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked Yes | 35c | 97.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ad52backed Yes | 36c | 94.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Yes | 40c | 80.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 25c | 73.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 67c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cf…be82backed Yes | 35c | 65.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Yes | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 33c | 60.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…397ebacked Yes | 39c | 57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 67c | 55.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 24c | 54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 875 | 21.3%186 W · 689 L | -83.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Yes | 40c | 50.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91e…b3d2backed Yes | 35c | 48.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 76c | 43.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 728 | 50.4%367 W · 361 L | -25.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked Yes | 37c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 65c | 39.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 167 | 49.7%83 W · 84 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…5a63backed No | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed No | 69c | 30.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…7346backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 68c | 29.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 526 | 49.8%262 W · 264 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 61c | 28.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 511 | 56.2%287 W · 224 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…17dfbacked Yes | 39c | 28.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,339 | 56.9%762 W · 577 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 65c | 23.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…b08ebacked No | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…2969backed No | 66c | 22.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: CA River Plate O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Independiente Santa Fe O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)Independiente Santa Fe won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)Independiente Santa Fe won
- Spread: Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5)CA River Plate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.