Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2166c22ae11c194f2a37e973e9f56400632f732509b8310877ac4d2b2a79679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeee0…f00ebacked Yes | 39c | 299.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.69 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 25c | 279.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.69 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 253.77$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 247$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.1 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 30c | 240.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 36c | 221.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e6…ab8abacked No | 74c | 215.71$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 33c | 198.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.82 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 28c | 169.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.05 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 48c | 161$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…a387backed No | 74c | 146.46$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 30c | 144.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked No | 13c | 137.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 29c | 134.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 46c | 134.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 66c | 119.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 35c | 116.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 28c | 115$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 33c | 111.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 66c | 110.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 69c | 103.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1264…31e5backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…de11backed Yes | 43c | 98.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…ff31backed Yes | 30c | 92.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 52c | 92.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 33c | 82.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 30c | 78.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 75c | 75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 66c | 74.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 41c | 73.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 68c | 72.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 30c | 63.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 73c | 61.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 38c | 59.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 48c | 58.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 18c | 57.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 61c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…c2f0backed No | 74c | 54.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0d…bc8dbacked No | 66c | 51.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…046fbacked Yes | 23c | 50.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 253 | 35.2%89 W · 164 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed Yes | 30c | 49.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 31c | 47.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…a47bbacked Yes | 33c | 46.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 68c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 29c | 44.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 33c | 42.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 29c | 40.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…6732backed No | 63c | 39.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 67c | 37.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…24cdbacked Yes | 32c | 37.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed0…25afbacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f24…64b5backed No | 53c | 37.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 72c | 33.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 30c | 33.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 59c | 32.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 65c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 67c | 31.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 73c | 30.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 71c | 28.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3225…d1cfbacked Yes | 37c | 28.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…e862backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 68c | 24.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 74c | 23.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33b…0b31backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…808bbacked No | 71c | 22.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 52c | 22.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x6a31…335fbacked No | 66c | 20.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 71c | 20.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b3…d03bbacked No | 70c | 19.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc9…dba2backed No | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4204…165abacked No | 71c | 16.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…07a5backed No | 64c | 15.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 247 | 68.4%169 W · 78 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45ee…983cbacked Yes | 77c | 15.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…c579backed No | 69c | 14.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 52cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.