TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Segovia: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Ilya Ivashka

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gonzalo Villanuevaof Gonzalo Villanueva, Ilya Ivashka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,128 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Ilya Ivashka51c7,574$3,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,874.958,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Gonzalo Villanueva56c6,657$3,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,910.574,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ilya Ivashka72c4,406$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,160.358,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Gonzalo Villanueva76c3,561$2,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.7562956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Ilya Ivashka80c3,010$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400.554,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Gonzalo Villanueva24c2,615$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.6311,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ilya Ivashka42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.049,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Gonzalo Villanueva20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8002,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…4c29backed Gonzalo Villanueva23c999.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7708326.5%22 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+72.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Gonzalo Villanueva22c943.64$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.042,39438.4%920 W · 1,474 L+87.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b50…fd61backed Ilya Ivashka76c779.97$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.785752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Ilya Ivashka74c675.68$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50057950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Gonzalo Villanueva58c621.19$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.884,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Gonzalo Villanueva22c545.45$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.4554547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Ilya Ivashka37c534.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.991,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Gonzalo Villanueva23c415.31$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.227131.4%85 W · 186 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed Gonzalo Villanueva25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010246.1%47 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+51.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Ilya Ivashka39c391.31$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.995,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb38b…734cbacked Gonzalo Villanueva80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Ilya Ivashka58c371.52$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.522,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Gonzalo Villanueva47c341.36$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.8836545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Gonzalo Villanueva73c314.72$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.721,76446.8%826 W · 938 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Gonzalo Villanueva18c279.62$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.141,84445.7%843 W · 1,001 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Gonzalo Villanueva60c273.33$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3344051.6%227 W · 213 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Ilya Ivashka24c270.83$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651,56340%625 W · 938 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Ilya Ivashka76c256.31$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8585741.7%357 W · 500 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ilya Ivashka54c247.55$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.541,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Gonzalo Villanueva38c229.33$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.3330048.3%145 W · 155 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Gonzalo Villanueva20c227.5$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1822,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Gonzalo Villanueva74c223$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5841554.7%227 W · 188 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93cb…3485backed Gonzalo Villanueva17c219.9$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5230439.8%121 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Gonzalo Villanueva25c212$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1593,20440.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Ilya Ivashka48c207.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025950.2%130 W · 129 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gonzalo Villanueva25c195.87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.718,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Gonzalo Villanueva23c195.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.651,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Gonzalo Villanueva20c195.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.225,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Gonzalo Villanueva25c172$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1292,14237.3%799 W · 1,343 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Gonzalo Villanueva35c162.86$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.862,57546.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L+15.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Ilya Ivashka77c157.68$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.966,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Gonzalo Villanueva24c141.71$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.74,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa76…8b54backed Ilya Ivashka8c136.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-80.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Gonzalo Villanueva76c135$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.492674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Gonzalo Villanueva20c126.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.852,13736.8%787 W · 1,350 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Ilya Ivashka80c122.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.142,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Gonzalo Villanueva65c120.69$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2426134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58a8…a3c7backed Gonzalo Villanueva70c119.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366633.3%22 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ilya Ivashka79c118.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed Gonzalo Villanueva20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8011218.8%21 W · 91 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ilya Ivashka25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Gonzalo Villanueva19c94.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.731,84244.8%825 W · 1,017 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Gonzalo Villanueva22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9144952.8%237 W · 212 L+1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Gonzalo Villanueva52c83.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.991,23265.4%806 W · 426 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Ilya Ivashka25c82.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.626,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x449f…2d2ebacked Ilya Ivashka29c79.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5225447.6%121 W · 133 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Gonzalo Villanueva21c70$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.31,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…52f4backed Ilya Ivashka75c64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa00c…4820backed Ilya Ivashka21c56.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.855827.6%16 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Ilya Ivashka77c51.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.218461.9%52 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Ilya Ivashka37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.554661%333 W · 213 L+34.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Ilya Ivashka57c47.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0879857.6%460 W · 338 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Ilya Ivashka80c47.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.72,00453.2%1,067 W · 937 L+52.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Gonzalo Villanueva24c42.77$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.591,07956.3%608 W · 471 L+50.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Gonzalo Villanueva73c40.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7687450.6%442 W · 432 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked Gonzalo Villanueva80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811838.1%45 W · 73 L-10.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Ilya Ivashka50c39.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.886,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Gonzalo Villanueva51c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.311,83057.7%1,056 W · 774 L+105.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Ilya Ivashka49c35.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.351,21252%630 W · 582 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…200bbacked Ilya Ivashka38c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.57751.9%40 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6123…8b33backed Ilya Ivashka74c26.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Ilya Ivashka79c25.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080856.9%460 W · 348 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe01…b45dbacked Ilya Ivashka79c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7522377.6%173 W · 50 L+0.6wins0.00per pick77cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed Gonzalo Villanueva76c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616964.5%109 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b46…ed0dbacked Ilya Ivashka80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1632452.5%170 W · 154 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Gonzalo Villanueva66c17.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9678957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Ilya Ivashka78c16.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9531841.8%133 W · 185 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab95…6c79backed Ilya Ivashka76c16.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.272060%12 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Ilya Ivashka76c14.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1768057.1%388 W · 292 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Gonzalo Villanueva72c14.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0478647.3%372 W · 414 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Ilya Ivashka79c13.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8128263.8%180 W · 102 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.