Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb64e4436a6c05eaa9f423baf73c4811e9f738c6be76dfe417983d9feae3694e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 56c | 756.17$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.2 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 43c | 324.8$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.85 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef0…6392backed Yes | 43c | 275.08$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f98…e397backed Yes | 38c | 261$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.38 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…95f5backed Yes | 41c | 224.38$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.18 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 43c | 216.49$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 42c | 198.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 371 | 44.2%164 W · 207 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 55c | 196.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b1…11d2backed Yes | 50c | 150.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +15.0wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 55c | 142.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 49c | 134.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 41c | 127$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Yes | 46c | 109.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 55c | 105.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…2c51backed Yes | 41c | 97.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 212 | 64.6%137 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 31c | 92.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…dc2ebacked No | 35c | 91.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 284 | 41.5%118 W · 166 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e97…7773backed No | 59c | 84.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 59c | 79.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 60c | 78.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…d06bbacked Yes | 47c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…a606backed No | 62c | 76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 41c | 74.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…7477backed No | 59c | 71.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -34.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 70c | 70.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 58c | 70.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…3208backed Yes | 43c | 65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 58c | 61.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 38c | 61.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 63c | 59.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 51c | 59.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 33c | 58.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 43c | 56.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked No | 56c | 55.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 41c | 53.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 43c | 52.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…5e72backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 36c | 49.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 36c | 49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 48.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 57c | 45.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 33c | 45.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 59c | 44.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…a381backed Yes | 39c | 43.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 71c | 43.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 61c | 42.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 40c | 41.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 40c | 41.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 39c | 39.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 62c | 35.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fc…565cbacked No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 57c | 34.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed No | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 64c | 31.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 42c | 29.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 39c | 28.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…f7edbacked Yes | 37c | 27.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2239…ba8fbacked Yes | 45c | 25.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 59c | 25.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 62c | 23.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc4…4d11backed Yes | 70c | 23.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed No | 60c | 21.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…04d4backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 622 | 75.2%468 W · 154 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…8355backed No | 57c | 17.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 168 | 59.5%100 W · 68 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0c22backed Yes | 76c | 13.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 182 | 22%40 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on July 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.