Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb87f2c954f5cc39455dde17a85a64c68b6f9efdc6282c0d76c88d9105a30255d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 61c | 4,212$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.9 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 36c | 2,917$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.1 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 39c | 957.29$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.82 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked Yes | 40c | 708.69$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.63 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 38c | 532.9$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.9 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…07bcbacked No | 58c | 516.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 76.8%76 W · 23 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 470.4$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.28 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 31c | 419.25$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.82 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 42c | 359.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.15 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 9c | 323.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 309.52$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 43c | 301$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.57 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…6805backed Yes | 43c | 297.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…4404backed Yes | 43c | 284.57$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 8c | 272.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 45c | 269.61$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.29 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…28b8backed Yes | 42c | 260.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.92 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 50c | 257.75$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed Yes | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 203 | 47.8%97 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…a394backed Yes | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | -17.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 42c | 223.82$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.93 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d3…415ebacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 422 | 53.1%224 W · 198 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 63c | 164$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.32 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 43c | 120.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 35c | 119.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 66c | 104$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 51c | 103.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9668backed Yes | 50c | 101.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987f…b37dbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 40c | 95.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 42c | 93.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…392bbacked Yes | 45c | 90.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…5866backed Yes | 45c | 90.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 43c | 86.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 75c | 86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 39c | 83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 39c | 81.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 21c | 81.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 28c | 80.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 25c | 80.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 42c | 76.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…9a18backed Yes | 45c | 75.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed Yes | 42c | 72.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 69c | 72.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 26c | 71.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked No | 21c | 71.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 30c | 66.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 25c | 64.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…0fbbbacked Yes | 42c | 62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 61c | 60.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 45c | 57.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7834…f823backed Yes | 43c | 53.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…52d8backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 190 | 71.6%136 W · 54 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…2aeebacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 36c | 49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 41c | 47.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 43c | 47.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 63c | 46.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 26c | 41.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked Yes | 44c | 40.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb699…4e20backed Yes | 26c | 39.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…902dbacked Yes | 79c | 39.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 59c | 38.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 76c | 31.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked Yes | 65c | 31.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…154ebacked Yes | 71c | 30.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…6f76backed Yes | 47c | 30.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 43c | 30.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 62c | 30.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec34…b109backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 46c | 28.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 49c | 25.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…9e87backed No | 55c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 90 | 66.7%60 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 56c | 24.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…b668backed Yes | 49c | 24.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 61c | 22.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked Yes | 70c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b4…624ebacked Yes | 74c | 20.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb8…7809backed No | 63c | 20.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…c2b6backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8607backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.