Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb677974605b2bc9caf1a66e3532049f2d603402c536c94b0809a141abe067f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 54c | 1,144$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.75 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 9c | 497.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 39c | 483.35$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.83 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed No | 15c | 408.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 41c | 329.05$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.6 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 26c | 323.15$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 40c | 322.2$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357a…88dfbacked Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 16c | 294$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 45c | 279.43$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.55 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb31…3952backed Yes | 44c | 263.29$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.29 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 65c | 251.55$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.05 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 19c | 227.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 66c | 221.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 16c | 217.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 43c | 195.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.11 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 14c | 194.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 58c | 187.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 49c | 186.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 46c | 178$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 33c | 172.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…0858backed Yes | 44c | 141.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 30c | 134.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 16c | 112$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 45c | 109.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 35c | 101.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 67c | 89.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed No | 40c | 87.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed No | 22c | 78.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 54c | 77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8746…f522backed Yes | 53c | 72.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 55c | 71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 20c | 67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 51c | 64.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 55c | 63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 31c | 62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 53c | 60.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 54c | 59.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 53c | 57.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 22c | 55.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…c0a7backed No | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 49c | 54.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 24c | 54.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 54.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 47c | 53.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 69c | 53.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 78c | 53.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…6644backed Yes | 48c | 53.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 46c | 51.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5731backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…1ea8backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d8…a8cebacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 61c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…6060backed No | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 54c | 40.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 50c | 39.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9600backed Yes | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 48c | 38.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 39c | 38.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…0c1abacked No | 50c | 35.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 51c | 34.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…8819backed No | 74c | 33.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 30c | 33.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 53c | 33.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 50c | 32.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked Yes | 49c | 32.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 45c | 32.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…c32abacked Yes | 39c | 28.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 64c | 28.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…d09cbacked No | 47c | 28.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…7307backed No | 64c | 27.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 54c | 27.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 54c | 27.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 37c | 27.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed Yes | 41c | 27.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…5585backed No | 45c | 26.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed No | 61c | 22.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a18…d4c3backed No | 56c | 22.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…db37backed No | 56c | 20.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…44c4backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 53c | 19.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.