Tennis · resolved market
ITF Lexington: Julia Zhu vs Maria Kononova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc89d8f2f28ade8b8e7efbb02af43b05dd5c61594c6fc88a1ebb53073f61974c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Julia Zhuof Julia Zhu, Maria Kononova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Maria Kononova | 48c | 6,668$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.42 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Julia Zhu | 69c | 5,050$3,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.39 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Julia Zhu | 49c | 1,637$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.37 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maria Kononova | 37c | 1,248$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.01 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Maria Kononova | 13c | 1,237$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.91 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Julia Zhu | 55c | 1,127$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.39 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Julia Zhu | 43c | 1,014$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.25 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Julia Zhu | 62c | 710.14$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.38 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06a…d284backed Julia Zhu | 44c | 655$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.75 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2690…4089backed Maria Kononova | 28c | 634.29$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Maria Kononova | 55c | 605.95$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.27 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Julia Zhu | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Julia Zhu | 46c | 534.41$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.58 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maria Kononova | 35c | 474.67$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.41 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…2078backed Julia Zhu | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Julia Zhu | 43c | 432.03$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.69 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21e…5950backed Julia Zhu | 70c | 426.83$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Julia Zhu | 68c | 410.67$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.95 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Maria Kononova | 28c | 362.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Julia Zhu | 40c | 329.22$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.68 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Julia Zhu | 73c | 276.87$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Julia Zhu | 38c | 266.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.61 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Maria Kononova | 45c | 240.78$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.32 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Maria Kononova | 57c | 231.65$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.9 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Maria Kononova | 7c | 214$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Maria Kononova | 51c | 200.88$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Maria Kononova | 48c | 194$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Maria Kononova | 51c | 190.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Julia Zhu | 58c | 182.09$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.48 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Julia Zhu | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Maria Kononova | 50c | 177$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Julia Zhu | 42c | 126.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Maria Kononova | 50c | 121.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Julia Zhu | 45c | 112.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Julia Zhu | 64c | 112.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Maria Kononova | 12c | 106$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Maria Kononova | 36c | 105$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Julia Zhu | 60c | 104.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Maria Kononova | 50c | 101.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Julia Zhu | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Julia Zhu | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Maria Kononova | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Maria Kononova | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Maria Kononova | 27c | 96.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Maria Kononova | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Maria Kononova | 52c | 92.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Maria Kononova | 45c | 84.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Maria Kononova | 24c | 74.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Maria Kononova | 24c | 70.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Maria Kononova | 53c | 69.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Maria Kononova | 43c | 60.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Julia Zhu | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Maria Kononova | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Maria Kononova | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Julia Zhu | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…881abacked Julia Zhu | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Julia Zhu | 47c | 51.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Julia Zhu | 54c | 46.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Julia Zhu | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Maria Kononova | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Julia Zhu | 40c | 43.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Julia Zhu | 40c | 38.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Maria Kononova | 39c | 38.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Julia Zhu | 38c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Julia Zhu | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Julia Zhu | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Maria Kononova | 34c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Julia Zhu | 51c | 28.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Maria Kononova | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Julia Zhu | 41c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Julia Zhu | 54c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Maria Kononova | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Maria Kononova | 56c | 25.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Maria Kononova | 66c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…f617backed Maria Kononova | 56c | 24.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Maria Kononova | 46c | 22.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…ab8fbacked Maria Kononova | 68c | 15.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.