Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on June 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdf23902983872a642c4ac88b9baccac97028eb8393066ad600ba5fe128ddffb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 39c | 515.07$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.27 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 38c | 339.06$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.01 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 58c | 322.7$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.53 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…0400backed Yes | 29c | 305.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 43c | 273.41$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.31 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 37c | 199$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 37c | 159.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 28c | 153.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.39 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 75c | 140.13$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 54c | 139$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 64c | 136.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…19d9backed Yes | 52c | 135$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 44c | 122.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…da1ebacked Yes | 37c | 121.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…24cdbacked No | 63c | 118.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 31c | 115.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…002dbacked No | 71c | 113.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 96 | 79.2%76 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d9…ee63backed Yes | 39c | 112.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 36c | 111.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 105.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 32c | 105.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 71c | 104.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…34c3backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 63c | 99.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 62c | 96.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 56c | 93.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 40c | 92.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…d4dabacked No | 69c | 89.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 53 | 81.1%43 W · 10 L | +8.5wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 69c | 89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 61c | 87.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 65c | 83.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 34c | 79.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 65c | 77.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e1…c79cbacked Yes | 40c | 74.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 73.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 43c | 72.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 65c | 71.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 71c | 70.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 48c | 69.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked Yes | 69c | 68.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 24c | 68.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8d…84afbacked Yes | 63c | 64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 60c | 62.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 55c | 59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 41c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 59c | 57.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 47c | 55.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…7c3abacked Yes | 72c | 55.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 36c | 55.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 36c | 54.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…cf5cbacked Yes | 36c | 54.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 62c | 52.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 35c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…3b5dbacked Yes | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 34c | 49.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 57c | 48.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…33b5backed Yes | 71c | 48.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 45c | 46.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b0…56e8backed Yes | 37c | 45.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b0…1402backed Yes | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 163 | 39.9%65 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…2ca4backed Yes | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 208 | 33.2%69 W · 139 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 45c | 43.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 60c | 43.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 64c | 43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 35c | 42.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…7b63backed Yes | 47c | 42.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aac…bc3bbacked Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f98…e397backed No | 65c | 40.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…aa88backed Yes | 64c | 39.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 38c | 37.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…5c9fbacked Yes | 78c | 36.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 34c | 36.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…ab06backed Yes | 61c | 36.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6192…48efbacked Yes | 32c | 36.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…7451backed No | 56c | 35.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe801…764fbacked No | 66c | 35.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80db…4a73backed Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 62c | 34.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 52c | 34.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…42c3backed Yes | 71c | 34.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83bb…b01fbacked Yes | 38c | 33.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 40c | 33.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6a…5ff2backed Yes | 45c | 33.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e3…b5dabacked Yes | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 35c | 31.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 66c | 31.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…d9d1backed Yes | 41c | 30.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 44c | 30.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on June 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.