South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeb78ef2c1ba7635d8ebaee8e68c4dc547bc67c57f50a426e877b6f642ebec0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 51c | 19,916$10,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,778.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 48c | 6,954$3,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,616.28 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 49c | 2,500$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 1,981$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.45 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 1,954$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.96 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 49c | 1,750$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.5 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 1,399$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.76 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 48c | 1,261$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.27 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 11c | 1,100$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.04 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.01 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 930.08$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.96 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 48c | 658.96$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.3 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 49c | 500.1$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.05 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 473.57$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.28 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 47c | 453.38$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.27 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 52c | 452.33$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.36 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 269.85$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.67 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 50c | 264.12$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.06 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 52c | 245$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 52c | 244.74$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.63 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 52c | 239.11$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Yes | 68c | 199.15$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 14c | 190.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 15c | 168.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 16c | 136$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 52c | 118.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 52c | 117.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 55c | 108.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 24c | 106.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 52c | 98.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 46c | 93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 92.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 19c | 89.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 50c | 88.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked No | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…8b55backed Yes | 75c | 61.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 59.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 50c | 56.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 53c | 54.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 53c | 50.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 80c | 49.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 43c | 35.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 52c | 35.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 22.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Estudiantes end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.