Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc24557f8ab21212215b4a7fd4de6ac6f7c4c4d07b7e040ab67acfb81cc399b17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb31…3952backed Yes | 65c | 927.18$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.28 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 33c | 750.48$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.17 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 56c | 547.14$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked Yes | 59c | 500$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.57 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 39c | 474.03$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.7 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 64c | 469.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.07 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 54c | 460.81$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 63c | 455.83$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.52 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 64c | 425.13$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.89 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 33c | 420$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 42c | 319.13$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.73 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 39c | 316.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 39c | 269.06$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 6c | 251.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 27c | 249.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 35c | 225.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 33c | 217.77$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…0f20backed Yes | 66c | 196.72$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 44c | 175.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 37c | 155.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…8690backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5d…38eabacked Yes | 62c | 145.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 64c | 143.87$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed No | 38c | 140.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 33c | 138.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed No | 36c | 131.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 62c | 128.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a2…e032backed No | 40c | 120.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 39c | 117.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 37c | 115.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 65c | 109.84$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 44c | 97.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 39c | 91.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…9a18backed No | 41c | 88.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 38c | 85.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…cc5abacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked Yes | 63c | 66.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…7aa4backed No | 41c | 60.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked No | 39c | 55.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 271 | 69%187 W · 84 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 35c | 48.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…df20backed Yes | 77c | 46.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed No | 33c | 46.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…de16backed Yes | 51c | 42.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.32per pick | 49cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…0543backed No | 47c | 41.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed No | 39c | 41.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 203 | 47.8%97 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…42efbacked No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58bf…2ef8backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 54c | 35.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 57c | 34.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 33c | 34.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b0…f988backed Yes | 68c | 34.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…32cebacked Yes | 68c | 34.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 39c | 34.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…2106backed No | 49c | 34.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 38c | 33.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796b…92c3backed Yes | 51c | 30.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…6291backed Yes | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 38c | 29.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…40febacked No | 40c | 27.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -84%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 41c | 27.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 41c | 27.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 41c | 27.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…1c8abacked Yes | 66c | 24.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf92…150fbacked Yes | 66c | 22.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Yes | 66c | 22.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cc…3097backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 71c | 21.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…0ad4backed Yes | 67c | 20.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…7273backed Yes | 60c | 20.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da7…9861backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…1211backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 62c | 16.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…b9d1backed Yes | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…8faabacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.