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Tennis · resolved market

US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Martyna Kubka

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kristina Liutovaof Kristina Liutova, Martyna Kubka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Martyna Kubka25c24,689$6,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,194.5478047.2%368 W · 412 L+2.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Martyna Kubka6c8,116$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.879,26736.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L-199.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Kristina Liutova75c6,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5004,80349.5%2,379 W · 2,424 L+174.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Kristina Liutova75c5,984$4,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.816,70050.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L+267.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Kristina Liutova75c4,869$3,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.172,36952.2%1,236 W · 1,133 L+87.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Martyna Kubka4c2,825$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1139897.9%78 W · 911 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Kristina Liutova77c2,804$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6373,23857.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L+179.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Martyna Kubka5c2,202$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.494,30545%1,939 W · 2,366 L+20.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Martyna Kubka3c1,988$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.862122.2%138 W · 483 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfac7…78ebbacked Martyna Kubka26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008653.5%46 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Kristina Liutova74c1,522$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.6922159.7%132 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Martyna Kubka21c1,511$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.81,60624.4%392 W · 1,214 L-41.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Kristina Liutova76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.791866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa466…1c77backed Martyna Kubka25c1,311$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.284139%16 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Martyna Kubka4c1,066$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.635,07541.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L-83.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Kristina Liutova80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20057944.2%256 W · 323 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Martyna Kubka5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038721.4%83 W · 304 L+1.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Martyna Kubka27c900$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24392149.8%459 W · 462 L-24.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Martyna Kubka34c787.53$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.646937.7%26 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Martyna Kubka26c681.74$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.253,39748.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L-47.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Kristina Liutova74c678.34$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.331,70950.6%864 W · 845 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd755…472fbacked Martyna Kubka26c673.08$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Martyna Kubka25c504.03$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.011,73348.4%839 W · 894 L+40.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Kristina Liutova74c333$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5839951.1%204 W · 195 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Martyna Kubka24c251.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.92,88247.2%1,360 W · 1,522 L+39.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Martyna Kubka25c204.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.572,58138.7%999 W · 1,582 L+100.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f4…335fbacked Kristina Liutova75c194.67$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6724874.2%184 W · 64 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41cf…8268backed Martyna Kubka28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503663.9%23 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ae…d117backed Martyna Kubka26c174.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.56233.9%21 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Kristina Liutova78c173.08$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.082,89249.6%1,433 W · 1,459 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Martyna Kubka26c170.54$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.297,22749.7%3,591 W · 3,636 L+118.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d9…b1b1backed Martyna Kubka27c147.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052935.9%190 W · 339 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Kristina Liutova73c140$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3854540.2%219 W · 326 L+40.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Kristina Liutova74c139$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.531,85646.8%868 W · 988 L-55.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Kristina Liutova80c127$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.41,11257.9%644 W · 468 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Kristina Liutova74c120.95$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9586168.4%589 W · 272 L+25.5wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Martyna Kubka26c100.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.21,59942.3%676 W · 923 L+19.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c9d…cb94backed Kristina Liutova75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Kristina Liutova75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2572638.3%278 W · 448 L-34.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Kristina Liutova74c94.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5931555.9%176 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x329b…56f0backed Martyna Kubka27c86.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Martyna Kubka25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,37728.9%1,553 W · 3,824 L-20.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x240b…c32abacked Kristina Liutova74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.574065%26 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7d0…681ebacked Kristina Liutova74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Martyna Kubka16c63.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081,94744%856 W · 1,091 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55a…9811backed Kristina Liutova73c62.93$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.933650%18 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa261…af5bbacked Kristina Liutova76c60.5$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4115454.5%84 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Kristina Liutova73c59.26$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161,00449.5%497 W · 507 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48f0…810bbacked Kristina Liutova75c58.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.673577.1%27 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Martyna Kubka28c53.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9876048.3%367 W · 393 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8204…8fa3backed Martyna Kubka28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155228.8%15 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Martyna Kubka26c53.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9362447.6%297 W · 327 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Martyna Kubka26c51.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.59,44444.3%4,188 W · 5,256 L-249.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Martyna Kubka29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51,90357.5%1,094 W · 809 L+107.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5238…be0dbacked Kristina Liutova74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Kristina Liutova75c46.42$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.623364.8%151 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Kristina Liutova74c44.52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.756,89848.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L+61.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7629…ef05backed Kristina Liutova73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.137863%238 W · 140 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Martyna Kubka26c41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.666058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ff1…1be9backed Kristina Liutova73c40.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.124971.4%35 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b4…da40backed Kristina Liutova74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5439858.8%234 W · 164 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…b51bbacked Kristina Liutova76c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.53348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb28c…9aeebacked Martyna Kubka27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0458…5fafbacked Kristina Liutova71c39.47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.45757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Kristina Liutova78c39.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.772,07652.9%1,099 W · 977 L+33.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Kristina Liutova74c32.43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4311162.2%69 W · 42 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Kristina Liutova74c27.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1682262.2%511 W · 311 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Kristina Liutova74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0346064.3%296 W · 164 L+24.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b56…a082backed Kristina Liutova72c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5645864%293 W · 165 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Kristina Liutova74c25.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6860565.5%396 W · 209 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Kristina Liutova78c25.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.516557.6%95 W · 70 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Kristina Liutova77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6655351.9%287 W · 266 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kristina Liutova72c24.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.812,54551.2%1,303 W · 1,242 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cce…4b52backed Kristina Liutova75c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.519487.6%170 W · 24 L+41.8wins+0.22per pick66cpaid+31.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Kristina Liutova75c21.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2614856.1%83 W · 65 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8529…53e3backed Kristina Liutova75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Kristina Liutova76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7387738.2%335 W · 542 L-21.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Kristina Liutova73c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1312751.2%65 W · 62 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Kristina Liutova72c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0433064.8%214 W · 116 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775e…e94abacked Kristina Liutova72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.27057.1%40 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.