Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc421ee9405fa7d4a713637c26580130c9a930641e7d4af542f96c87524d501dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 38c | 520$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.24 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 19c | 418.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…92e4backed Yes | 77c | 416.74$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 277 | 44%122 W · 155 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 49c | 415.52$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.68 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 305.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.08 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 50c | 251.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.12 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 46c | 246.01$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.09 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…b04abacked Yes | 44c | 232.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.44 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 47c | 203.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 32c | 196$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 27c | 195.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 190.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 44c | 118$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…c876backed Yes | 39c | 115.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 42c | 113.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…8136backed Yes | 51c | 113.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 46c | 109.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 44c | 107.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 63c | 107$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 102.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 30c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 38c | 82.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked No | 61c | 81.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed Yes | 30c | 65.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 50c | 64.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 467 | 33.4%156 W · 311 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 76c | 64.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 70c | 64.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 47c | 63.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 39c | 62.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Yes | 48c | 62.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 46c | 62.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 65c | 61.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 54c | 60.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 50c | 59.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 47c | 56.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 55.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 53c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 39c | 52.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 62c | 50.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 29c | 48.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 53c | 46.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…6dabbacked No | 47c | 45.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 43c | 45.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 435 | 63.9%278 W · 157 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…b7a2backed No | 45c | 43.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 36c | 41.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b0…1402backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 163 | 39.9%65 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 41c | 38.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…cc7dbacked No | 48c | 35.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…fc3fbacked No | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…e862backed No | 65c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x463d…abb2backed No | 69c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 66c | 30.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…f17cbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…9b1bbacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 60c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…e90abacked Yes | 62c | 25.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 66c | 25.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 48c | 25.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bea…bab9backed Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…b8a8backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed Yes | 54c | 24.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 63c | 23.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 47c | 23.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 66c | 22.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…76b3backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…bc87backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 47c | 21.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 66c | 21.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…b231backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 66c | 19.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20fe…bcf0backed Yes | 65c | 18.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 65c | 17.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 73c | 14.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on June 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.