Fifa International · resolved market
Will Belgium be the highest-scoring team in Group G during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc53793ef9cfe65cba9bb23304638e61d030ba55553ba90d03916f12a7596a47f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 60c | 1,443$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.2 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 68c | 956.17$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.09 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 49c | 579.41$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.09 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 47c | 412.95$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.43 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 55c | 287.28$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.27 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 23c | 245$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 77c | 201.57$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked No | 34c | 173.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 36c | 140.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed No | 24c | 123.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 19c | 121.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 22c | 107.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 26c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 28c | 87.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 178 | 28.1%50 W · 128 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 36c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…58a9backed No | 38c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 75c | 68.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 58c | 62.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x923b…e08abacked Yes | 76c | 53.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 76c | 45.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 35c | 32.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes | 79c | 24.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 77c | 18.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 67c | 17.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belgium be the highest-scoring team in Group G during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Egypt be the highest-scoring team in Group G during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran be the highest-scoring team in Group G during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand be the highest-scoring team in Group G during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.