Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc72923289cbb2bf3dc257c53f6c54fd533101a298a81d8bd8ffc46b5695b0056
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 46c | 414.98$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.66 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 52c | 356.66$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.04 | 664 | 24.2%161 W · 503 L | -22.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed Yes | 61c | 328.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.03 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 64c | 312.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 339 | 43.1%146 W · 193 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 255.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc179…5cdebacked Yes | 66c | 244.35$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 46c | 239.02$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 46c | 214.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 49c | 210.12$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.16 | 265 | 56.2%149 W · 116 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 58c | 207.09$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 2,201 | 62.2%1,370 W · 831 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 37c | 187.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 138 | 61.6%85 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2572…80dbbacked Yes | 55c | 184.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 22c | 175.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 1,936 | 38.1%737 W · 1,199 L | +296.8wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xecff…5645backed Yes | 54c | 156.3$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 61c | 148.2$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 520 | 46.9%244 W · 276 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 32c | 147.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 862 | 30.7%265 W · 597 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 42c | 143.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 2,176 | 53.1%1,156 W · 1,020 L | +36.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 47c | 134$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 637 | 33.4%213 W · 424 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 28c | 110.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 401 | 42.4%170 W · 231 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 198 | 31.8%63 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,472 | 34.8%512 W · 960 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 50c | 98.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 256 | 53.9%138 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 49c | 97.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 2,340 | 58.7%1,373 W · 967 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 36c | 95.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 1,477 | 58.6%865 W · 612 L | +72.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…2721backed No | 38c | 85.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 253 | 57.7%146 W · 107 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 85.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 6,166 | 49.3%3,038 W · 3,128 L | -117.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…eb61backed No | 49c | 84.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 39c | 78.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 57c | 73.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 12,975 | 20.5%2,666 W · 10,309 L | -2,698.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked Yes | 41c | 72.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 446 | 44.6%199 W · 247 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 45c | 71.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 1,189 | 38.2%454 W · 735 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 54c | 67.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 58c | 67.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 4,009 | 47.3%1,897 W · 2,112 L | +71.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1d…56a3backed No | 47c | 59.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 68c | 59.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 637 | 50.1%319 W · 318 L | +32.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…6aa2backed No | 59c | 57.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | -11.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 36c | 57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 552 | 38.8%214 W · 338 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 37c | 52.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 2,226 | 59.1%1,316 W · 910 L | +110.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 40c | 52.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2,233 | 56%1,250 W · 983 L | +47.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e2…3baebacked Yes | 58c | 52.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d5…7227backed Yes | 67c | 51.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…7817backed Yes | 39c | 51.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 202 | 55.4%112 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…83a4backed No | 39c | 50.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…cb85backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6296…981cbacked Yes | 59c | 49.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 44c | 49.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 3,835 | 61.1%2,345 W · 1,490 L | -35.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 44c | 48.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 483 | 62.5%302 W · 181 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 47.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 5,489 | 56%3,075 W · 2,414 L | -123.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 55c | 44.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 5,003 | 53.5%2,678 W · 2,325 L | +31.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 42c | 43.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2,201 | 56.8%1,250 W · 951 L | +69.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 50c | 42.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 3,810 | 65.8%2,508 W · 1,302 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 4,032 | 35.6%1,436 W · 2,596 L | +42.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…c133backed Yes | 60c | 39.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…ef78backed No | 45c | 38.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 48c | 36.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 62c | 36.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 5,625 | 47.8%2,687 W · 2,938 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 46c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 4,627 | 58.3%2,696 W · 1,931 L | -114.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 51c | 35.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,805 | 50.4%910 W · 895 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked No | 37c | 35.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 504 | 62.3%314 W · 190 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 46c | 34.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 881 | 50.5%445 W · 436 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 49c | 33.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 5,836 | 60%3,502 W · 2,334 L | -112.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8c…3e30backed Yes | 63c | 33.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…005bbacked No | 40c | 33.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 192 | 9.9%19 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 69c | 31.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 485 | 46%223 W · 262 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 51c | 30.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 7,592 | 37.5%2,849 W · 4,743 L | +96.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6,905 | 53.1%3,666 W · 3,239 L | +422.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 38c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,254 | 59.8%750 W · 504 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf361…08f6backed No | 53c | 29.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 60c | 28.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 855 | 48.7%416 W · 439 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked No | 43c | 27.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 600 | 32%192 W · 408 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5c…a906backed No | 45c | 26.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 46c | 26.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2,283 | 58.3%1,331 W · 952 L | +85.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…7c65backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 69c | 23.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 439 | 47.6%209 W · 230 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…6c4dbacked Yes | 57c | 22.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…18efbacked No | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9286…2e11backed Yes | 72c | 21.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…11e0backed Yes | 52c | 21.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 54c | 20.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1,158 | 57.1%661 W · 497 L | -45.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb92c…79a1backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 526 | 50.2%264 W · 262 L | +30.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 901 | 55.7%502 W · 399 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…f233backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff6…b95dbacked Yes | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb699…4e20backed No | 60c | 17.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 237 | 50.2%119 W · 118 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.