Tennis · resolved market
Lyon: Miguel Damas vs Vilius Gaubas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8812f7843919545e5bbb29d86df50b82a679ce1b1883a9c3d705e228e509e1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miguel Damasof Miguel Damas, Vilius Gaubas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Miguel Damas | 28c | 3,228$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.29 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cc…b660backed Vilius Gaubas | 8c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Miguel Damas | 28c | 1,266$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.13 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miguel Damas | 67c | 1,070$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.18 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miguel Damas | 64c | 983.7$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.05 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vilius Gaubas | 50c | 967.65$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.58 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Vilius Gaubas | 73c | 865.49$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.92 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Vilius Gaubas | 40c | 750.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Vilius Gaubas | 70c | 667.74$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.42 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Miguel Damas | 26c | 651$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.74 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miguel Damas | 64c | 590.26$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.34 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Miguel Damas | 35c | 545.17$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.36 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Miguel Damas | 30c | 471.31$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.53 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Miguel Damas | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Vilius Gaubas | 24c | 438.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Vilius Gaubas | 73c | 432.99$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.08 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Vilius Gaubas | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Vilius Gaubas | 37c | 398$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.92 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Miguel Damas | 24c | 291.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.8 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Vilius Gaubas | 78c | 263$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.14 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Vilius Gaubas | 5c | 262.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Vilius Gaubas | 68c | 261$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.48 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Vilius Gaubas | 69c | 255.02$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Miguel Damas | 58c | 210.05$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Vilius Gaubas | 40c | 210$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Vilius Gaubas | 77c | 207$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.39 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Vilius Gaubas | 71c | 200.34$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Vilius Gaubas | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Miguel Damas | 26c | 189.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vilius Gaubas | 48c | 188.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Miguel Damas | 48c | 179.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Vilius Gaubas | 72c | 173$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Miguel Damas | 41c | 127.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Vilius Gaubas | 70c | 127.3$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Miguel Damas | 26c | 125.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Vilius Gaubas | 67c | 122.42$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Vilius Gaubas | 65c | 120.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Vilius Gaubas | 39c | 117$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Vilius Gaubas | 71c | 110$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Vilius Gaubas | 72c | 109.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Miguel Damas | 25c | 104$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vilius Gaubas | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miguel Damas | 79c | 96.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Vilius Gaubas | 61c | 90.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miguel Damas | 61c | 88.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Miguel Damas | 33c | 79.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Vilius Gaubas | 18c | 76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 266 | 40.6%108 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Miguel Damas | 27c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Miguel Damas | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Miguel Damas | 31c | 74.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Miguel Damas | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Miguel Damas | 43c | 56.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Miguel Damas | 31c | 55.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Miguel Damas | 32c | 53.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Vilius Gaubas | 67c | 52.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Vilius Gaubas | 39c | 50.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Vilius Gaubas | 70c | 47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Vilius Gaubas | 42c | 44.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Miguel Damas | 58c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Vilius Gaubas | 50c | 43.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Vilius Gaubas | 65c | 43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Miguel Damas | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Vilius Gaubas | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Vilius Gaubas | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Vilius Gaubas | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Vilius Gaubas | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Vilius Gaubas | 74c | 29.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Vilius Gaubas | 73c | 27.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Vilius Gaubas | 73c | 27.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Vilius Gaubas | 77c | 27.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Vilius Gaubas | 73c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Vilius Gaubas | 72c | 22.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Vilius Gaubas | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Miguel Damas | 71c | 14.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 195 | 68.2%133 W · 62 L | +19.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.