TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Kosice: Maks Kasnikowski vs Franco Roncadelli

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Franco Roncadelliof Maks Kasnikowski, Franco Roncadelli
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,979 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Maks Kasnikowski31c4,642$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.28,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Maks Kasnikowski52c3,573$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.536,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Franco Roncadelli48c3,239$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.4511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Franco Roncadelli80c2,978$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.736,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Franco Roncadelli67c2,448$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.14,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Maks Kasnikowski64c2,113$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.961,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Franco Roncadelli53c1,964$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.488,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Franco Roncadelli55c1,933$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.462,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Maks Kasnikowski4c1,627$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.981,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Maks Kasnikowski42c1,489$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.141,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked Maks Kasnikowski9c1,429$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.596553.8%35 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Maks Kasnikowski7c1,045$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9656827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Maks Kasnikowski64c1,033$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.644,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Franco Roncadelli56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44049252.4%258 W · 234 L+28.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Franco Roncadelli33c987.25$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.686,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed Franco Roncadelli64c900$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.554841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Franco Roncadelli51c862.12$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.984,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Maks Kasnikowski51c612.68$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.473,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Franco Roncadelli31c539.41$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.52,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Franco Roncadelli71c538.57$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.581,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Franco Roncadelli58c521.01$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.0126451.5%136 W · 128 L+18.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Maks Kasnikowski7c512.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.263349.6%32 W · 302 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Maks Kasnikowski72c500.2$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.869,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed4…fe8fbacked Maks Kasnikowski79c430.38$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Franco Roncadelli37c418.92$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.492,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Franco Roncadelli64c412.63$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.634,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Maks Kasnikowski47c408.72$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.167838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Maks Kasnikowski50c351.16$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17432935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaba5…4e0ebacked Maks Kasnikowski63c345.54$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.316055%88 W · 72 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Franco Roncadelli47c310.95$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.585,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cbb…75a1backed Maks Kasnikowski52c308.82$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1511338.9%44 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Maks Kasnikowski78c299.99$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9946556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Maks Kasnikowski60c292.11$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.432,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Franco Roncadelli63c270.93$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.434,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Maks Kasnikowski38c265.79$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10141850%209 W · 209 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Franco Roncadelli38c256.41$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.851,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Maks Kasnikowski62c250.38$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.243,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Maks Kasnikowski63c236.56$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0336852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Franco Roncadelli39c227.12$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.547,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Franco Roncadelli37c219.24$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0885624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa943…bcbebacked Maks Kasnikowski64c207.33$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.614930.6%15 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Maks Kasnikowski34c163.11$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.561,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Maks Kasnikowski42c158.31$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.122,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Maks Kasnikowski53c147.8$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5424856.9%141 W · 107 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Maks Kasnikowski74c147.42$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.041,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Maks Kasnikowski53c145.28$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Maks Kasnikowski47c143.17$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Franco Roncadelli35c140.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.333,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Maks Kasnikowski56c132.8$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3278840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Franco Roncadelli47c130.23$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.366,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Maks Kasnikowski47c126.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Maks Kasnikowski40c125.35$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.573,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Franco Roncadelli40c124.65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2544527.2%121 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Maks Kasnikowski12c119.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.931,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Franco Roncadelli36c117.83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.411,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Maks Kasnikowski48c110.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.141,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked Maks Kasnikowski46c107.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506755.2%37 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Maks Kasnikowski63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6356062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Franco Roncadelli58c96.48$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.952,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Maks Kasnikowski48c91.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Franco Roncadelli35c91.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.712,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Maks Kasnikowski64c90.74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0735932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Maks Kasnikowski43c88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2442350.8%215 W · 208 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Maks Kasnikowski63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…5c4cbacked Franco Roncadelli55c78.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.55248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Franco Roncadelli60c70.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.228562.8%179 W · 106 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Maks Kasnikowski65c64$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.627753.4%148 W · 129 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Maks Kasnikowski69c64$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.971,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Maks Kasnikowski51c61.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0323653.4%126 W · 110 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Franco Roncadelli37c61.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.533,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Franco Roncadelli37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Franco Roncadelli45c55.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4958539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Maks Kasnikowski46c50.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.185752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Maks Kasnikowski47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x831d…0705backed Maks Kasnikowski76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3826563.8%169 W · 96 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Maks Kasnikowski63c49.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.122,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Franco Roncadelli56c44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.235,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Maks Kasnikowski47c40.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.981,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Franco Roncadelli37c40.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2157842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Maks Kasnikowski63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cf…91abbacked Maks Kasnikowski63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Franco Roncadelli39c39.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.796560%39 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3537…3419backed Maks Kasnikowski49c38.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.713151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33e…b4b6backed Franco Roncadelli34c37.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4618545.4%84 W · 101 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Maks Kasnikowski67c32.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0832732.1%105 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Maks Kasnikowski53c29.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.591,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Maks Kasnikowski61c25.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6599249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Franco Roncadelli39c25.66$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.652,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Franco Roncadelli48c25.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1919474.7%145 W · 49 L+34.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.9%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x5151…fba8backed Maks Kasnikowski79c22.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8238074.5%283 W · 97 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Maks Kasnikowski67c22.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516050.6%81 W · 79 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86ca…bc47backed Maks Kasnikowski63c22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.841030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf69b…d240backed Maks Kasnikowski55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116959.2%100 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Maks Kasnikowski64c16.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.63,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.