CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccf776d8ee5610e13c29101be265a2184b1afa24dae6d198d315a7dc9328608c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Over | 47c | 10,711$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 251 | 39.4%99 W · 152 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 60c | 5,734$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.61 | 177 | 43.5%77 W · 100 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 4,932$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.76 | 1,756 | 47.3%830 W · 926 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 334 | 49.1%164 W · 170 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 3,160$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.52 | 693 | 48.2%334 W · 359 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 38c | 2,651$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.4 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 2,504$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.36 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 43c | 2,281$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.12 | 810 | 45.9%372 W · 438 L | -24.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 827 | 44.4%367 W · 460 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…8f14backed Under | 60c | 1,715$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 55c | 1,005$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.12 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…495fbacked Over | 44c | 507.57$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…7537backed Over | 12c | 478.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 56c | 442.17$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.56 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 76c | 428.59$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 1,406 | 66.4%933 W · 473 L | +77.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Under | 53c | 340.47$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Over | 9c | 325.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…f6ccbacked Under | 55c | 268.69$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 43c | 231$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 591 | 34.7%205 W · 386 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed Over | 44c | 221.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…8189backed Over | 46c | 217.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 41c | 208.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 850 | 51.8%440 W · 410 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…be99backed Over | 45c | 178.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Over | 38c | 175$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 42c | 174.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 1,066 | 39.7%423 W · 643 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…d4f1backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf418…a37ebacked Over | 46c | 160.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…acbbbacked Under | 64c | 154.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595f…9224backed Over | 48c | 141.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 73c | 137.74$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 422 | 41.9%177 W · 245 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5396…f549backed Over | 47c | 125.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…ef5abacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 62c | 112.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c5…be6bbacked Over | 46c | 108.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…e12bbacked Over | 40c | 104.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 381 | 49.3%188 W · 193 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6c…61dbbacked Over | 40c | 96.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Under | 59c | 94.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 55c | 83.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 55c | 81.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 41c | 65.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 781 | 48.3%377 W · 404 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 46c | 60.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 401 | 38.4%154 W · 247 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 606 | 55.1%334 W · 272 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…3a4cbacked Over | 44c | 52.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -60%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 38c | 47.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 2,732 | 30.3%829 W · 1,903 L | -120.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…cc69backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 67c | 41.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 728 | 60.2%438 W · 290 L | +72.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 41.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Under | 55c | 40.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Over | 40c | 38.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 768 | 38.3%294 W · 474 L | -33.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 57c | 37.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 52c | 36.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 323 | 40.6%131 W · 192 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Under | 58c | 35.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 37c | 33.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Under | 61c | 31.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 191 | 42.9%82 W · 109 L | -10.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…1488backed Over | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 44cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…6b15backed Over | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…38a9backed Over | 46c | 23.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group ASpirit won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.