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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof G2, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$656,481
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$729,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $656,481 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 437 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf559…f462backed Spirit72c69,138$49,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,358.519954.3%108 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed G226c56,861$14,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,783.8215645.5%71 W · 85 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed Spirit70c50,000$35,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,999.9822752.9%120 W · 107 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed G228c40,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,2003450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked G229c38,501$11,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,315.381,75647.3%830 W · 926 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked G228c35,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.9779752.7%420 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed G217c33,154$5,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,703.891,50239.1%587 W · 915 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x733b…7260backed Spirit72c27,778$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,777.782360.9%14 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick72cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f1a…6529backed G229c19,064$5,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,528.612245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked G229c15,760$4,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,570.4425139.4%99 W · 152 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed G229c15,311$4,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,490.521747%102 W · 115 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Spirit71c13,656$9,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,960.338765.5%57 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed G228c11,472$3,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,212.251931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed G22c11,172$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.992,44545.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L-66.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Spirit70c10,992$7,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,257.5866151.9%343 W · 318 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed Spirit71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.984551.1%23 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked G230c9,580$2,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,874.0524446.3%113 W · 131 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4b…5345backed Spirit71c8,901$6,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.244365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Spirit77c8,573$6,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.9281045.9%372 W · 438 L-24.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G214c8,247$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.081,07849.5%534 W · 544 L+42.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed G229c8,100$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34925748.6%125 W · 132 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G214c8,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1201,63645.9%751 W · 885 L+35.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed G214c8,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12091147.5%433 W · 478 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked G213c8,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9971723.7%170 W · 547 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd2…6657backed G228c7,666$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.482157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Spirit71c7,500$5,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.9820160.7%122 W · 79 L-14.4wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed G228c7,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96035854.2%194 W · 164 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f62…dd4dbacked Spirit70c6,635$4,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.081566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed G228c6,500$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.9971251.7%368 W · 344 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8144…266cbacked Spirit71c6,100$4,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed G214c5,648$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.528952.8%47 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Spirit71c5,347$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d5…2ec4backed Spirit76c5,010$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.832544%11 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked G229c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45023125.1%58 W · 173 L-0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8b8…ef79backed G214c5,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6902714.8%4 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed G228c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40027852.9%147 W · 131 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Spirit71c4,778$3,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.6224253.3%129 W · 113 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked G212c4,500$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56022721.6%49 W · 178 L-0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-46.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed G227c4,472$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.6798840.7%402 W · 586 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed G230c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20051852.3%271 W · 247 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadef…8fffbacked Spirit71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1606936.2%25 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6261…4adbbacked G230c3,978$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Spirit76c3,651$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.2230740.4%124 W · 183 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Spirit69c3,623$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.2228056.1%157 W · 123 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x568b…4727backed Spirit70c3,500$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0503262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked G229c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9220052%104 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948a…e059backed Spirit72c3,374$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed G229c3,350$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.491,44433.4%482 W · 962 L+39.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Spirit72c3,194$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.4450651.2%259 W · 247 L-20.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Spirit66c3,172$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.8725561.6%157 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed G229c3,117$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.943831.6%12 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Spirit70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9004854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…ba88backed Spirit71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.981330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf053…dcddbacked Spirit72c2,800$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick68cpaid-38.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed09…e314backed Spirit71c2,744$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.7580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Spirit70c2,504$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.051,10151%561 W · 540 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked G230c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75039847.7%190 W · 208 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x069e…72d3backed G215c2,454$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.111216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid+53.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked Spirit66c2,410$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.2418867.6%127 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a5…d074backed G26c2,290$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.910244.1%45 W · 57 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed G219c2,213$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.172,73230.3%829 W · 1,903 L-120.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Spirit71c2,113$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.681861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9c5…73cbbacked G230c2,036$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6045228.8%15 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed G212c2,036$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.318823.9%45 W · 143 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed G228c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56038841.8%162 W · 226 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked G230c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011471.1%81 W · 33 L+18.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+27.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked G228c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56082744.4%367 W · 460 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe479…b1f1backed G230c1,958$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Spirit70c1,912$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.511,71053.2%909 W · 801 L+65.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed G27c1,912$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7356832.4%184 W · 384 L-27.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3664…db10backed G231c1,893$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x806a…b7dabacked Spirit70c1,750$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5252759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x185a…5104backed G212c1,742$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.78016.3%13 W · 67 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x239e…cb80backed Spirit71c1,710$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.891258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed G229c1,651$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.792321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59ee…c77cbacked Spirit70c1,625$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.52356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed G226c1,577$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.5835031.1%109 W · 241 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed G225c1,557$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.111327.4%31 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed G26c1,557$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.418250%91 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed Spirit65c1,519$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.7918049.4%89 W · 91 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked G215c1,518$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,63844.6%731 W · 907 L+3.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab28…c210backed Spirit70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-59.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Spirit68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48017851.1%91 W · 87 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked G214c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013950.4%70 W · 69 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Spirit72c1,401$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.3719348.7%94 W · 99 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked G229c1,379$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40053835.9%193 W · 345 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed G229c1,351$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.4763454.6%346 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb0…6197backed Spirit71c1,246$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.479757.7%56 W · 41 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddbc…5dcebacked Spirit71c1,225$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.361553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Spirit70c1,200$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36025946.3%120 W · 139 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked G218c1,133$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.4193645.3%424 W · 512 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…8c87backed G218c1,123$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.14922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Spirit70c1,111$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.329553.6%158 W · 137 L+16.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked G228c1,111$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.081,15249.4%569 W · 583 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed G225c1,090$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27018043.3%78 W · 102 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c9…8bf1backed G229c1,086$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31513849.3%68 W · 70 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0284…97f6backed Spirit71c1,050$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.55851.7%30 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf253…c69dbacked Spirit72c1,042$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.362268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked G231c1,013$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.089953.5%53 W · 46 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8be4…a700backed Spirit70c1,005$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.356355.6%35 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.