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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof G2, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$372,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$432,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,077 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8a1…2974backed G217c22,325$3,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,885.384219%8 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked G27c14,319$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.174311.6%5 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-13%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Spirit68c13,118$8,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,197.847241.7%30 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed G232c11,709$3,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,746.835444.4%24 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed Spirit68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.994551.1%23 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit75c9,817$7,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,472.811,63645.9%751 W · 885 L+35.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spirit74c8,913$6,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.552,44545.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L-66.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed G225c7,291$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.552,73230.3%829 W · 1,903 L-120.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed G227c6,900$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.0918236.8%67 W · 115 L-17.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4f0…b287backed G220c6,348$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.61816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked G212c6,000$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.1125755.3%142 W · 115 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Spirit79c5,294$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.519872.4%71 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit77c5,070$3,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.341,28247.3%607 W · 675 L+22.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…5abfbacked Spirit78c4,485$3,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.41546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked G21c4,189$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5671723.7%170 W · 547 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit66c3,975$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.61,07849.5%534 W · 544 L+42.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed G232c3,948$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.5115645.5%71 W · 85 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe46d…7e4dbacked Spirit72c3,726$2,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.273348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed G232c3,687$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.2319642.3%83 W · 113 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed G230c3,606$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.9135031.1%109 W · 241 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6be…a0f3backed Spirit59c3,541$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.4311952.9%63 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed G227c3,531$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.196544.6%29 W · 36 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed G28c3,284$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.7258522.4%131 W · 454 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Spirit75c3,066$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.7491147.5%433 W · 478 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a8…bdc6backed Spirit56c3,035$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.0212352.8%65 W · 58 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed G232c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96051852.3%271 W · 247 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Spirit78c2,953$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.6329644.3%131 W · 165 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Spirit68c2,888$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.6140346.7%188 W · 215 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Spirit75c2,884$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.5489748.6%436 W · 461 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed G29c2,805$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.875,95437.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L+77.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed G232c2,800$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8968133.3%27 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab6…b6fcbacked G22c2,800$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Spirit67c2,787$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.5253449.6%265 W · 269 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Spirit72c2,777$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.1242454.7%232 W · 192 L+28.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked G227c2,741$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.634325.6%11 W · 32 L-6.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-33.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked G245c2,687$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20015548.4%75 W · 80 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked G235c2,630$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.193,70629.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L-297.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8144…266cbacked G231c2,623$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.12837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed G231c2,572$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.7438841.8%162 W · 226 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9247…7789backed G27c2,540$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.06714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x997f…b0f7backed G248c2,507$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb454…a98cbacked Spirit66c2,500$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8507145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked G21c2,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022721.6%49 W · 178 L-0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-46.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb1…aebabacked G29c2,325$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.841540%6 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+151.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd47c…39b5backed G240c2,322$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.26850%34 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed G232c2,268$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.7263234.7%219 W · 413 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed G235c2,188$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.785,46631.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L-400.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed G233c2,007$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.324253.3%129 W · 113 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked G213c1,982$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.6730138.2%115 W · 186 L-17.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e3d…8554backed G21c1,940$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed G230c1,817$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.142,13742%897 W · 1,240 L-48.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x136b…c35abacked Spirit67c1,600$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5281735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked G235c1,500$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.0839847.7%190 W · 208 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed G233c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49558435.8%209 W · 375 L+1.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Spirit69c1,467$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.8425748.6%125 W · 132 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Spirit55c1,387$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.2633449.1%164 W · 170 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed G22c1,347$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2740768.1%277 W · 130 L+28.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6f1…5729backed Spirit80c1,327$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.458667.4%58 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked G219c1,311$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.5953834.8%187 W · 351 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked G221c1,295$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.4593645.3%424 W · 512 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ae…46d7backed Spirit67c1,280$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.42445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed G216c1,274$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.091,50239.1%587 W · 915 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked G213c1,269$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1315253.3%81 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Spirit68c1,250$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40011750.4%59 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed G225c1,228$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.1220940.7%85 W · 124 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd25f…eab3backed G221c1,200$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.416541.5%27 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked G233c1,197$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.9813950.4%70 W · 69 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked G22c1,175$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0831326.2%82 W · 231 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Spirit54c1,100$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.9933737.7%127 W · 210 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8be4…a700backed Spirit68c1,030$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.596355.6%35 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x521f…3344backed G27c1,025$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G231c1,014$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.345,19455.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L+131.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Spirit68c999.98$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9914346.2%66 W · 77 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed G230c979.44$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.836250%31 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa3…ff46backed G210c970.97$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.843813.2%5 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-70%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb7d9…c572backed G211c925.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019250%96 W · 96 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Spirit57c919.39$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.7723240.5%94 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e5…a830backed Spirit55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.092045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344e…019ebacked G212c900$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9911913.4%16 W · 103 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-62.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Spirit69c899.99$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27910451%53 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…69b3backed Spirit56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.867252.8%38 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0665…2a33backed G238c892.54$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.61717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9178…0f43backed Spirit68c863.98$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked G218c851.79$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15631036.1%112 W · 198 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed G228c844.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.711327.4%31 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked Spirit60c829.95$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9521256.1%119 W · 93 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed G26c789.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4376838.3%294 W · 474 L-33.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aee…637abacked Spirit74c741.59$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.814461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed Spirit67c738.23$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24441655.3%230 W · 186 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked G228c735.53$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.7937939.8%151 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed G220c714.58$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9681045.9%372 W · 438 L-24.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked G231c690$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.959134.7%205 W · 386 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf56d…c3d9backed G233c688.82$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.314934.7%17 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed G247c666.76$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.0882842.9%355 W · 473 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Spirit72c664.54$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.7845875.8%347 W · 111 L+25.4wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed G232c625.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.995238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7374…38ffbacked Spirit63c625$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.756350.8%32 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e96…9e53backed G246c624.14$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.131428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb98e…2827backed G232c616.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…f812backed Spirit56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2646547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.