TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,246 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d2e…896dbacked Spirit43c41,436$17,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,618.467241.7%30 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked G257c30,000$17,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,099.985940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Spirit40c15,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.96250%31 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed G260c14,638$8,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,782.828056.1%157 W · 123 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Spirit54c11,737$6,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,400.575137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed Spirit42c10,559$4,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,124.422752.9%120 W · 107 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked G246c10,456$4,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,809.817743.5%77 W · 100 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed G257c6,855$3,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,898.7971251.7%368 W · 344 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked G257c6,000$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4205446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Spirit46c5,362$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,912.495756.1%32 W · 25 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed G257c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85027852.9%147 W · 131 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked G257c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85020051%102 W · 98 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed G246c4,963$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,259.751,50239.1%587 W · 915 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Spirit43c4,889$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,786.9233148.6%161 W · 170 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed G259c4,537$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.7570453.1%374 W · 330 L-26.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x620b…2e9fbacked G257c4,252$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.841457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed G258c3,091$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.7825748.6%125 W · 132 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Spirit43c2,849$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.9359134.7%205 W · 386 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Spirit62c1,733$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.7141950.1%210 W · 209 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked G258c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffb…4fb5backed G258c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Spirit43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85519754.8%108 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x253b…0f86backed Spirit42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8701560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+57.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Spirit42c1,450$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.942556%14 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed G259c1,185$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.131136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Spirit44c1,143$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.937441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked G258c1,121$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65025357.3%145 W · 108 L-1.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed G258c1,116$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.567544%33 W · 42 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf8fb…c3cabacked Spirit64c1,063$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.392860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked G257c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57010356.3%58 W · 45 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed Spirit41c999.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59017850%89 W · 89 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Spirit43c930.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.231861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94dc…5e19backed G258c855.57$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Spirit43c677.52$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.5553449.6%265 W · 269 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed G241c618.16$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7630551.5%157 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Spirit43c617.56$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.0162838.2%240 W · 388 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3e…5329backed Spirit43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3428757.5%50 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Spirit43c581.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.420848.1%100 W · 108 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a28…ff8cbacked G258c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Spirit43c481.34$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.361,70447%801 W · 903 L-29.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Spirit42c449.12$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9531439.5%124 W · 190 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe6c…a2c3backed G258c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Spirit43c403.93$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5751650.4%260 W · 256 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6117…29ffbacked Spirit50c400.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.23234.4%11 W · 21 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Spirit43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22850445.8%231 W · 273 L-2.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed G257c368.3$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9315343.1%66 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Spirit43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8431458.6%184 W · 130 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Spirit43c339.53$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5337338.6%144 W · 229 L-1.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x928d…5069backed G260c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d71…b221backed G258c308.41$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.88650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed G257c305$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8512951.9%67 W · 62 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed G257c300.17$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.11,05149%515 W · 536 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde4b…1222backed G257c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1715550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd25f…eab3backed Spirit41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1776541.5%27 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Spirit42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17440354.6%220 W · 183 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked G252c283.16$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.122,74947.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L-37.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Spirit43c273.26$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.769745.4%44 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43c6…6dc9backed G258c272.33$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.959358.1%54 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed G238c265.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008947.2%42 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spirit42c260.5$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.091,75647.3%830 W · 926 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked G257c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.578547.3%371 W · 414 L-26.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Spirit43c248$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.3616141%66 W · 95 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9674…1302backed Spirit43c233$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.819150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Spirit43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5638052.1%198 W · 182 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked Spirit43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5632453.7%174 W · 150 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fc…f032backed G258c197.39$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.221747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Spirit43c179.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5919942.7%85 W · 114 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed G258c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033961.9%210 W · 129 L+25.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked G258c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013950.4%70 W · 69 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Spirit42c169.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5910254.9%56 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Spirit57c162.33$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.481045.9%372 W · 438 L-24.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b5d…e7b3backed Spirit42c161.31$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2914…aff6backed G259c161.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.084269%29 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97f2…d56fbacked G258c156.9$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915862.1%36 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked G249c156.28$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776851.5%35 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Spirit43c152$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.649352.7%49 W · 44 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked G233c151.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x173e…9ff4backed G257c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.512439.5%49 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ef…34cabacked G258c145.5$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3960%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4223…42c7backed G226c136.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.034468.2%30 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed G257c132.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8318754%101 W · 86 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc877…ef5abacked G238c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Spirit76c128.18$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21,40666.4%933 W · 473 L+77.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e44…b80bbacked Spirit41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x789b…11f8backed Spirit43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.284067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc222…f6ccbacked G237c115.03$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.564738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed G257c104.37$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.498551.8%44 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda82…41b3backed G258c101.72$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked G257c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5712059.2%71 W · 49 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Spirit67c98.44$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5140149.9%200 W · 201 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebe…5d9bbacked Spirit43c95.53$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.516457.3%94 W · 70 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed G225c94.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.692321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2bf…3e90backed G258c91.57$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.117646.1%35 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Spirit59c84.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.676553.3%408 W · 357 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Spirit42c83.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3321044.8%94 W · 116 L-12.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed G260c76.59$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.632,44545.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L-66.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed G257c75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7571449.3%352 W · 362 L-2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9803…0242backed Spirit53c74.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8311653.4%62 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ee…dcefbacked G259c74.58$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked G225c74.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5738149.3%188 W · 193 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.