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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof G2, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,154,945
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,552,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,154,945 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x14c7…9ccfbacked Spirit58c340,491$197,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143,006.13650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed G242c287,532$120,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120,763.5628056.1%157 W · 123 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Spirit62c32,295$20,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,272.0941950.1%210 W · 209 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked G220c26,891$5,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,266.7723330.9%72 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Spirit62c22,862$14,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,574.476654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed G238c21,053$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0004219%8 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed G242c20,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,40082842.9%355 W · 473 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ba…246cbacked Spirit63c15,005$9,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,487.132245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2525…3dddbacked G249c14,131$6,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,870.181631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed G242c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20018236.8%67 W · 115 L-17.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit61c9,759$5,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,823.185,19455.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L+131.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked G238c9,553$3,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,630.137236.1%26 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed G230c8,616$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,591.8540346.7%188 W · 215 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked G231c7,512$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30025840.3%104 W · 154 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed G210c7,458$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.2915645.5%71 W · 85 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spirit79c7,347$5,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.822,44545.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L-66.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Spirit69c7,226$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.389872.4%71 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked G239c6,667$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.171,75647.3%830 W · 926 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed G234c5,811$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.149745.4%44 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked G235c5,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.624311.6%5 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-13%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked G240c5,714$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,287.1678457.3%449 W · 335 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed G238c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90051852.3%271 W · 247 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…ba88backed G228c5,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4201330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked G238c4,800$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84215546.5%72 W · 83 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Spirit71c4,747$3,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.5617743.5%77 W · 100 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed G238c4,458$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.068133.3%27 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed G227c4,269$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.2556832.4%184 W · 384 L-27.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Spirit61c4,214$2,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.2938646.6%180 W · 206 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed G238c4,200$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.3963234.7%219 W · 413 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked Spirit80c4,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Spirit62c3,992$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.8646850.2%235 W · 233 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked G220c3,833$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.5393645.3%424 W · 512 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Spirit62c3,741$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.519061.1%116 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed G218c3,644$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.9540768.1%277 W · 130 L+28.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc97d…89d7backed Spirit62c3,500$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3302250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit59c3,461$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.931,28247.3%607 W · 675 L+22.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x997f…b0f7backed G237c3,321$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2401735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…8c87backed G243c3,261$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.15922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked G247c3,035$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.654325.6%11 W · 32 L-6.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-33.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Spirit63c3,035$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.3389748.6%436 W · 461 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked G243c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2905337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed G238c2,984$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.9219642.3%83 W · 113 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d7…3a17backed Spirit60c2,808$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.962445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G23c2,803$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.581,07849.5%534 W · 544 L+42.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed G236c2,725$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.735031.1%109 W · 241 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed G239c2,630$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.415,46631.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L-400.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked G240c2,627$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.962556%14 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2a2…1467backed G237c2,500$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.171030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb454…a98cbacked Spirit67c2,500$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8257145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked G232c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9923125.1%58 W · 173 L-0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Spirit70c2,428$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.0242454.7%232 W · 192 L+28.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed G215c2,410$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.0258522.4%131 W · 454 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed Spirit63c2,381$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.956544.6%29 W · 36 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed G237c2,334$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.6239145.3%177 W · 214 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d8…f6b6backed Spirit61c2,261$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.823441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked G21c2,158$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5871723.7%170 W · 547 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed G232c2,129$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.9381045.9%372 W · 438 L-24.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96a8…6107backed G250c2,073$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.032030%6 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Spirit63c2,038$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.068952.8%47 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked G248c2,033$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.7276945.3%348 W · 421 L-23.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked G237c2,002$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.616848.5%33 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked G242c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84016146.6%75 W · 86 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked G239c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78082744.4%367 W · 460 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed G236c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72017838.2%68 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed G227c2,000$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.989643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed G247c1,950$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.12236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6f1…5729backed Spirit68c1,930$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.868667.4%58 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed G242c1,850$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.3148046.3%222 W · 258 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d4…d0c3backed Spirit60c1,838$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed G231c1,817$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.5911327.4%31 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed G211c1,809$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9513053.8%70 W · 60 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed G237c1,768$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.1624253.3%129 W · 113 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked G238c1,750$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6651145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed G240c1,703$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.6798840.7%402 W · 586 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe46d…7e4dbacked G242c1,655$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.533348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd47c…39b5backed Spirit53c1,650$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.786850%34 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked G221c1,621$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.323,70629.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L-297.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6be…a0f3backed Spirit65c1,488$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.0111952.9%63 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Spirit55c1,455$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.0382851.9%430 W · 398 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked G239c1,424$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.16836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05a6…6044backed G238c1,365$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-66.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Spirit74c1,359$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.96558.5%38 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ae…46d7backed Spirit60c1,350$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5402445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked G236c1,349$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.6713250%66 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b0…69b3backed G238c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007252.8%38 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed G224c1,253$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30033737.7%127 W · 210 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd302…3c8fbacked G223c1,220$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.042065%13 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.23per pick42cpaid+54.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2787…e0c4backed G247c1,215$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.051258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed G235c1,162$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed G29c1,140$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.351,50239.1%587 W · 915 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdac3…66d8backed Spirit68c1,117$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.031145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked Spirit63c1,117$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.8132453.7%174 W · 150 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Spirit75c1,115$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.3437939.8%151 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed G242c1,111$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.615648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked G247c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005850%29 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed G238c1,060$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.992,13742%897 W · 1,240 L-48.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcda7…af42backed G238c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad7e…ae3bbacked Spirit63c1,019$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.03955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed G229c1,000$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28846539.1%182 W · 283 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Spirit62c999.99$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38212659.5%75 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.