Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on April 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce55efd053cc2d15cb24364a193e151410e201d625a0e4ee1fef590ef05d7103
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3b…7060backed No | 1c | 1,698$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked No | 16c | 690.38$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9699…b8fdbacked Yes | 77c | 661.13$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.54 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 67c | 457.22$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.96 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 44c | 381.48$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.95 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 47c | 351.55$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.98 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 80c | 347.73$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 60c | 310.42$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Yes | 78c | 286.11$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 5c | 260.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 64c | 240.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 16c | 237.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.76 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 18c | 208.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 14c | 179.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…e027backed Yes | 26c | 159.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.43 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…e888backed Yes | 78c | 147.25$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 78 | 71.8%56 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…e158backed Yes | 17c | 134.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 129.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 32c | 110.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 55c | 106.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…57b3backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 105 | 77.1%81 W · 24 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…e61bbacked Yes | 33c | 99.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 44c | 97.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…401ebacked Yes | 70c | 97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 75c | 96.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 56c | 91.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…c8cebacked No | 11c | 91.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 15c | 91.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.68 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 22c | 88.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…e886backed Yes | 68c | 87.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed Yes | 18c | 78.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 31c | 75.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Yes | 64c | 73.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 32c | 70.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd802…d766backed Yes | 66c | 69.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 306 | 64.1%196 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 44c | 67.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 26c | 66.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb822…1422backed No | 43c | 66.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 18c | 65.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 19c | 63.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…fcc9backed No | 27c | 62.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 17c | 60.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked No | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 43c | 59.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 54c | 58.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 38c | 56.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 68c | 56.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 29c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7c24…81e9backed No | 52c | 48.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 22c | 48.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 70c | 44.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 163 | 66.3%108 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 43.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 75c | 42.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…5b07backed Yes | 63c | 41.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 30c | 39.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac4…9966backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 75cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked No | 48c | 37.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 76c | 37.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf568…62adbacked Yes | 39c | 36.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…9936backed Yes | 67c | 36.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 50c | 35.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked No | 48c | 35.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…0f90backed No | 44c | 33.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe418…f304backed Yes | 78c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…91f8backed No | 79c | 31.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 77 | 77.9%60 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 76c | 31.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…70f0backed Yes | 76c | 30.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9757…2dbfbacked Yes | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 70c | 29.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…2b6bbacked Yes | 71c | 28.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 130 | 81.5%106 W · 24 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…9144backed Yes | 59c | 28.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 65c | 28.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 62c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…2ea5backed No | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4811…be32backed Yes | 63c | 23.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…bb03backed Yes | 70c | 21.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…0ef1backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2808…cab6backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked No | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…2d87backed Yes | 68c | 19.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…383bbacked Yes | 69c | 19.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 208 | 66.8%139 W · 69 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 56c | 18.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa51d…c3b1backed Yes | 77c | 17.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…5e3bbacked No | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +47%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481c…2325backed Yes | 77c | 15.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 123 | 65%80 W · 43 L | +12.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on April 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on April 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.