Tennis · resolved market
Quebec City: Jurij Rodionov vs Rei Sakamoto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceaf9472cda5504f5fd78a8ece88cf2c42cde2adda0e79facd88f6568ff3a60d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rei Sakamotoof Jurij Rodionov, Rei Sakamoto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Jurij Rodionov | 49c | 15,056$7,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,311.9 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rei Sakamoto | 57c | 5,056$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.41 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb6…8b20backed Jurij Rodionov | 5c | 4,566$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.29 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rei Sakamoto | 54c | 3,176$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.61 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Rei Sakamoto | 51c | 2,630$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.7 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Rei Sakamoto | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Jurij Rodionov | 17c | 1,973$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.04 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Jurij Rodionov | 27c | 1,600$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Rei Sakamoto | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Jurij Rodionov | 14c | 1,418$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jurij Rodionov | 6c | 1,170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 1,081$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Jurij Rodionov | 45c | 1,062$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.61 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rei Sakamoto | 54c | 767.5$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.18 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Jurij Rodionov | 45c | 528$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Rei Sakamoto | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 394.2$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.33 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Rei Sakamoto | 55c | 385.23$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.23 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Jurij Rodionov | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jurij Rodionov | 34c | 362.93$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Rei Sakamoto | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jurij Rodionov | 45c | 238.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Jurij Rodionov | 47c | 236.17$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Rei Sakamoto | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Rei Sakamoto | 53c | 209$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Rei Sakamoto | 59c | 202.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jurij Rodionov | 10c | 194.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Jurij Rodionov | 20c | 182.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Rei Sakamoto | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Jurij Rodionov | 8c | 180.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jurij Rodionov | 27c | 168$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Jurij Rodionov | 38c | 166.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…4cfdbacked Jurij Rodionov | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rei Sakamoto | 52c | 108.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Rei Sakamoto | 52c | 103$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Rei Sakamoto | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 449 | 46.1%207 W · 242 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Rei Sakamoto | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Rei Sakamoto | 54c | 99.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Jurij Rodionov | 20c | 87.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 84.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Rei Sakamoto | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Rei Sakamoto | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Rei Sakamoto | 73c | 64.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Jurij Rodionov | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 269 | 55%148 W · 121 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Rei Sakamoto | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rei Sakamoto | 52c | 49.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…f972backed Jurij Rodionov | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Jurij Rodionov | 23c | 43.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 80 | 72.5%58 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 42.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Rei Sakamoto | 77c | 38.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 34.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 31.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Rei Sakamoto | 55c | 26.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Rei Sakamoto | 71c | 23.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 22.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Jurij Rodionov | 45c | 22.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…e129backed Rei Sakamoto | 71c | 16.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.