Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul 2: Saba Purtseladze vs Mert Alkaya
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0c31315dd4f0d7d9475c1e23ea158c7f8032a6d622d5e274bdc53f721c0eab6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mert Alkayaof Saba Purtseladze, Mert Alkaya
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Saba Purtseladze | 34c | 17,900$6,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,134.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Mert Alkaya | 66c | 9,559$6,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.19 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mert Alkaya | 66c | 7,334$4,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.82 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Mert Alkaya | 62c | 1,330$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.77 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Saba Purtseladze | 15c | 1,262$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Saba Purtseladze | 35c | 1,211$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.9 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Saba Purtseladze | 34c | 1,145$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Saba Purtseladze | 36c | 1,016$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.93 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Mert Alkaya | 65c | 780$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Mert Alkaya | 64c | 718.42$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.63 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Mert Alkaya | 66c | 630$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Saba Purtseladze | 32c | 516.95$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.02 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mert Alkaya | 57c | 491.47$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.28 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Mert Alkaya | 80c | 428.4$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.93 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…9488backed Mert Alkaya | 66c | 425$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e52…0ec9backed Mert Alkaya | 64c | 384.42$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Mert Alkaya | 66c | 378.78$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Saba Purtseladze | 48c | 370.57$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.61 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mert Alkaya | 64c | 243.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Mert Alkaya | 68c | 235.94$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Saba Purtseladze | 38c | 202.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 952 | 37.7%359 W · 593 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Saba Purtseladze | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Saba Purtseladze | 36c | 184.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Mert Alkaya | 64c | 174.31$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Saba Purtseladze | 35c | 163.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Mert Alkaya | 65c | 153.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Mert Alkaya | 64c | 143.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Mert Alkaya | 63c | 143$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 744 | 38.7%288 W · 456 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Mert Alkaya | 70c | 130.05$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Mert Alkaya | 65c | 121.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Mert Alkaya | 56c | 120.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 634 | 40.9%259 W · 375 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…bed8backed Saba Purtseladze | 36c | 111.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…d485backed Mert Alkaya | 47c | 108.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Mert Alkaya | 80c | 108.61$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mert Alkaya | 73c | 104.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Mert Alkaya | 64c | 100.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mert Alkaya | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Saba Purtseladze | 11c | 99.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 309 | 25.9%80 W · 229 L | -29.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Mert Alkaya | 65c | 98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Mert Alkaya | 63c | 87.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 1,269 | 44.8%568 W · 701 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Mert Alkaya | 79c | 79.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Mert Alkaya | 56c | 77.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Mert Alkaya | 71c | 74.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Saba Purtseladze | 22c | 73.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Mert Alkaya | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 410 | 61.5%252 W · 158 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Saba Purtseladze | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Saba Purtseladze | 36c | 66.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Mert Alkaya | 72c | 62.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mert Alkaya | 70c | 54.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Mert Alkaya | 64c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Mert Alkaya | 62c | 46.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 248 | 58.5%145 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Mert Alkaya | 67c | 43.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Mert Alkaya | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8f…07fdbacked Mert Alkaya | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Saba Purtseladze | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…47eabacked Mert Alkaya | 48c | 27.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Mert Alkaya | 66c | 24.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1,022 | 57.8%591 W · 431 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Mert Alkaya | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Mert Alkaya | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Mert Alkaya | 69c | 20.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Mert Alkaya | 66c | 19.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Mert Alkaya | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Mert Alkaya | 64c | 16.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1,084 | 52.6%570 W · 514 L | +31.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.