Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd51080b1dd785ee7a1bdd4e63458ceeb6b880fffb73eef792409abf4b9f68652
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7313…49d2backed Yes | 3c | 3,116$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…10d3backed No | 66c | 709.58$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 23c | 357.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfad2…3887backed No | 76c | 262.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 40c | 252.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.61 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed Yes | 29c | 192.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 44c | 173.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 28c | 171.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 31c | 170.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 78c | 136.78$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed Yes | 28c | 136.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 68c | 136.01$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 78c | 134.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 26c | 127.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cd33backed Yes | 36c | 118$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 33c | 117.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 74c | 111.56$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 29c | 110$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 15c | 107.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…d8a9backed No | 50c | 104.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 79 | 79.7%63 W · 16 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…6505backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 24c | 98.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 25c | 98.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 13c | 97.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…441dbacked Yes | 28c | 96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 27c | 93.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked Yes | 31c | 91.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 65c | 89.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 21c | 83.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 57c | 81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 28c | 78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 49c | 77.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 15c | 74.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed Yes | 54c | 73.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…fecebacked Yes | 29c | 68.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 261 | 42.1%110 W · 151 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 25c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked Yes | 30c | 64.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 73c | 60.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…3b5dbacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…f053backed No | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 74c | 59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…d496backed Yes | 25c | 51.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…dfcabacked Yes | 72c | 51.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 239 | 51%122 W · 117 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 34c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 56c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x262f…2198backed No | 75c | 50.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…0b53backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58a…2a4fbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…3e93backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…bad9backed No | 76c | 48.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8033…0d2abacked No | 77c | 46.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…2467backed No | 79c | 46.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 69c | 46.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 59c | 46.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 53c | 43.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 71c | 41.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1342…c430backed Yes | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…0141backed No | 75c | 38.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked Yes | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 39c | 37.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Yes | 57c | 37.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 78c | 35.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 58c | 34.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 53c | 33.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…0cc4backed Yes | 37c | 29.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…f8b9backed No | 75c | 29.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…a14abacked Yes | 66c | 27.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…0669backed Yes | 64c | 24.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 75c | 24.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 68c | 22.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed Yes | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 77c | 20.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…497dbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 349 | 35.2%123 W · 226 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…c14bbacked No | 79c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 109 | 73.4%80 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 77c | 14.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa294…e25fbacked No | 80c | 13.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.