MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd567c65aec28aae0b22410c2591f23c8ffb29fc2638c26b6a22f9976d7a3a0d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Lotte Giants, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 3,298$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.39 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Doosan Bears | 61c | 2,705$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.33 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…9030backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 999.98$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 999.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 797.45$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.81 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lotte Giants | 44c | 736.44$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.45 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Lotte Giants | 49c | 578$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.22 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 500.4$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 453.64$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.23 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Lotte Giants | 32c | 431.29$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Lotte Giants | 25c | 401.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 390.41$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.16 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 390$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 379.14$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.79 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Doosan Bears | 51c | 310.01$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.61 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 264.32$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Doosan Bears | 52c | 246.06$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.05 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 232.63$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 222.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 200.74$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 198$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Lotte Giants | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lotte Giants | 47c | 176.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.42 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Doosan Bears | 71c | 153.71$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Lotte Giants | 68c | 147.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…b68ebacked Doosan Bears | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Doosan Bears | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 94.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 85.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Lotte Giants | 56c | 83.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 80.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 76.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Doosan Bears | 49c | 72.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Lotte Giants | 31c | 37.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 37.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 31.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lotte Giants | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 28.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.