MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd896926a80d372126f64f5e6f8364764ed936483cffe2a5a0593a2fea42f40c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof LG Twins, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 2,810$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.16 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked LG Twins | 59c | 1,146$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.9 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed LG Twins | 59c | 847.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.45 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 607.52$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LG Twins | 59c | 586.01$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.33 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed LG Twins | 72c | 496.27$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.33 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked LG Twins | 57c | 461$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.52 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 68c | 452.91$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.29 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LG Twins | 34c | 349.73$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.64 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed LG Twins | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked LG Twins | 68c | 273.13$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Lotte Giants | 21c | 273$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…3941backed LG Twins | 73c | 254.79$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 238.13$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked LG Twins | 57c | 235$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 19c | 186$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lotte Giants | 20c | 185.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed LG Twins | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked LG Twins | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Lotte Giants | 70c | 138.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed LG Twins | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked LG Twins | 47c | 108$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Lotte Giants | 15c | 105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 100.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Lotte Giants | 65c | 99.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Lotte Giants | 39c | 88.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked LG Twins | 34c | 87.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed LG Twins | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LG Twins | 26c | 82.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed LG Twins | 60c | 82.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lotte Giants | 27c | 81.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 80c | 74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LG Twins | 42c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed LG Twins | 59c | 70.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Lotte Giants | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 54.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed LG Twins | 59c | 35.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Lotte Giants | 64c | 35.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 35.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed LG Twins | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed LG Twins | 60c | 23.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed LG Twins | 58c | 20.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.