Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc1b1ae345cedaf719e3b0605d7bb89ba0252a30b6870c6cacba154a9c80a8a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 52c | 4,270$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.69 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 38c | 1,268$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.03 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 42c | 707.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.67 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…3925backed Yes | 55c | 620$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 44c | 614.85$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.06 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 44c | 448.47$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.85 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 48c | 436.17$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.12 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 60c | 362.68$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 46c | 312.8$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.58 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 59c | 257.08$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.48 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 57c | 250.3$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 49c | 250$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 53c | 241.32$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.41 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 12c | 230.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 68c | 225.36$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.43 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 45c | 221.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed Yes | 54c | 209.37$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 44c | 208$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb5…d2c8backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 62c | 188$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 35c | 185.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 66c | 181.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 24c | 172.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 16c | 170$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 15c | 161.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 49c | 154.61$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 40c | 150.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 13c | 132.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 42c | 126.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 124.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 52c | 118.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 39c | 115.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 59c | 114.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 114.51$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 36c | 112.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 40c | 106.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 45c | 105.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed Yes | 13c | 103.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 47c | 96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 94.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed Yes | 48c | 90.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 35c | 88.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 31c | 84.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…99d4backed No | 61c | 82.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 32c | 80.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 18c | 77.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 39c | 76.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…3f63backed Yes | 41c | 73.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed Yes | 43c | 72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 41c | 70.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…a909backed Yes | 31c | 68.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 24c | 66.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 47c | 63.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…fcc1backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 58c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 76c | 52.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…9c50backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…9a5cbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…b6fcbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…9207backed No | 57c | 44.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -22.3wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 43c | 44.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 37c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 60c | 41.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 73c | 40.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b09…68babacked Yes | 38c | 39.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 63c | 39.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 41c | 38.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…594abacked Yes | 41c | 38.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 60c | 38.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 66c | 37.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 58c | 34.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…5ac9backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 214 | 72%154 W · 60 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 75c | 32.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…e1f8backed No | 61c | 30.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cc…4e1bbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 37c | 29.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 35c | 28.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 57c | 28.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b33…9f80backed Yes | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8782…0968backed Yes | 39c | 27.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 41c | 26.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 75c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 68c | 26.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 45c | 26.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…7219backed No | 62c | 25.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 78 | 76.9%60 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 100°F or higher on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.