Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81851a7681af2cfa183c7fb58a7bfe5ebc57876258e3ce116755517d8e4670cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 1c | 1,592$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 39c | 1,573$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.32 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 66c | 568.65$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 42c | 548.32$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.34 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 45c | 432.72$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.06 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 49c | 426.62$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.48 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed No | 52c | 418.21$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.43 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 31c | 375.3$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 40c | 365.37$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.72 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 359.88$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.41 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 273.51$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.39 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 47c | 250.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.85 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 46c | 235$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.93 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 42c | 223.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.55 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…3925backed Yes | 79c | 220$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 39c | 218.69$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 66c | 214$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.24 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 58c | 208$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 39c | 205.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 57c | 204.35$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 39c | 173.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.55 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 63c | 159.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 50c | 154.77$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b33…9f80backed No | 43c | 148.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 30c | 147.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…7a32backed Yes | 42c | 143.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 45c | 138.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 43c | 125.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 55c | 121.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 43c | 116.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 75c | 112.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 43c | 108.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 45c | 104.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 55c | 100.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 53c | 100.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 59c | 98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 38c | 97.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 94.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 77c | 87.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 21c | 83.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 51c | 82.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 55c | 81.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 58c | 78.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 57c | 76.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 57c | 73.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 76c | 68.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…fcc1backed Yes | 67c | 59.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 58.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 28c | 57.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 58c | 56.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 34c | 54.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 46c | 50.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e7…6065backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…b6fcbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 47c | 48.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed No | 61c | 48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 66c | 47.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed Yes | 39c | 46.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…9a5cbacked Yes | 45c | 45.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 59c | 45.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 47c | 42.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 41c | 41.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked No | 48c | 40.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b09…68babacked Yes | 47c | 39.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 61c | 39.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 38c | 38.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…cc13backed Yes | 37c | 38.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed Yes | 45c | 36.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 62c | 34.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 41c | 34.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…5ac9backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 72%154 W · 60 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 38c | 31.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…7219backed No | 58c | 30.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 78 | 76.9%60 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cc…4e1bbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…d0bcbacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…866abacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96fe…6a5ebacked No | 55c | 28.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked Yes | 42c | 28.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 38c | 28.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8782…0968backed Yes | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…594abacked Yes | 44c | 27.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked Yes | 56c | 27.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed No | 49c | 27.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 55c | 27.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 100°F or higher on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.