NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0b85b153efc38b9b8c7cdc63c842f3d9f155c334cdc58e1a5c78a5dcd65ca1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Magic, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,116,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,174,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,116,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x038d…d484backed Magic | 20c | 150,161$29,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,858.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3196…146fbacked Magic | 19c | 101,521$19,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,288.97 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Magic | 18c | 68,706$12,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,522.01 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Magic | 17c | 54,391$9,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,271.26 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Magic | 19c | 50,950$9,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,680.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Magic | 4c | 33,964$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.73 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Magic | 16c | 31,793$5,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,011.46 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd497…42c5backed Magic | 4c | 20,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Magic | 18c | 14,392$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.47 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Magic | 17c | 14,300$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.97 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Magic | 18c | 13,379$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Magic | 3c | 13,000$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Magic | 4c | 12,508$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.69 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Magic | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Magic | 19c | 8,966$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.49 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Celtics | 80c | 8,124$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.89 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Magic | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…d268backed Magic | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Magic | 6c | 4,440$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.6 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Magic | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Magic | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Magic | 19c | 3,849$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.34 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Magic | 22c | 3,636$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Magic | 15c | 3,384$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.6 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 18c | 2,996$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.61 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Celtics | 80c | 2,869$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.7 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Magic | 15c | 2,591$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 80c | 1,955$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.95 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Magic | 1c | 1,917$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc532…3b9dbacked Magic | 19c | 1,885$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Magic | 5c | 1,800$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Magic | 1c | 1,605$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 2c | 1,450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Magic | 2c | 1,387$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Magic | 18c | 1,300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Magic | 4c | 1,293$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe266…7f63backed Magic | 12c | 1,200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Magic | 6c | 1,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Magic | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Magic | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Magic | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Celtics | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Magic | 11c | 934.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Magic | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Magic | 4c | 800$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked Magic | 18c | 731.5$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Magic | 11c | 692.24$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Magic | 18c | 660.53$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Magic | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Magic | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Magic | 20c | 550$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7c…7f1ebacked Magic | 6c | 550$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Magic | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Magic | 17c | 522.85$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Celtics | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf83…b988backed Magic | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Magic | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Magic | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…4988backed Magic | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Magic | 6c | 499.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Magic | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Magic | 4c | 473$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Magic | 18c | 445$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Magic | 12c | 430.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Magic | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddab…ec42backed Magic | 15c | 407.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Magic | 5c | 401.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Magic | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…1b41backed Magic | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Magic | 19c | 355.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Magic | 8c | 355.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Magic | 12c | 350$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Magic | 17c | 340$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Magic | 18c | 333$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Magic | 19c | 326.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Magic | 12c | 326.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Celtics | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Celtics | 80c | 267.79$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…2adcbacked Magic | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1935…4797backed Magic | 18c | 261.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Magic | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Magic | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…3946backed Magic | 6c | 206.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Magic | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Magic | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Magic | 20c | 196.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848a…53dabacked Magic | 18c | 189.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…2c8abacked Magic | 18c | 188.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4146…1886backed Magic | 18c | 181.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea4…c579backed Magic | 18c | 178.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…ae77backed Magic | 8c | 175$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…b87fbacked Magic | 19c | 169.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Magic | 14c | 163.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 634 | 45.1%286 W · 348 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Magic | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…8d9fbacked Magic | 19c | 158.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Magic | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Magic | 21c | 148.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.