TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,557 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xca7c…e994backed No23c176.55$40 inLost-$39.8337350.1%187 W · 186 L+45.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe23b…7c42backed No74c135.68$100 inLost-$1005860.3%35 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf751…65ccbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inWon+$33.339949.5%49 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1501…783fbacked Yes26c95.68$25 inWon+$70.84837.5%18 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+71.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Yes61c74.75$46 inWon+$29.1524058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No49c63$31 inLost-$30.8898134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No44c63$28 inLost-$27.681,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5e…b7e4backed Yes56c45$25 inWon+$19.86753.7%36 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No24c42.9$11 inLost-$10.512,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x760d…0786backed Yes27c40$11 inWon+$29.214557.9%84 W · 61 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd683…864abacked Yes59c40$24 inWon+$16.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-57.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe87f…eb3ebacked Yes50c22.45$11 inWon+$11.233253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd25d…754bbacked Yes61c20.92$13 inWon+$8.162045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5968…1d08backed Yes51c20$10 inWon+$9.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 74. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.