Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3915ad76344ba7c4e58fadaeca34f1575265b178dcdd3e4f58c15a79987f05a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 28c | 310.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…88cfbacked Yes | 35c | 284.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 29c | 259.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…c269backed Yes | 40c | 249.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 73c | 237.96$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 75c | 235.25$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 75c | 231.69$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed No | 65c | 224.94$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 38c | 203.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 73c | 165$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 27c | 154.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 32c | 152.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 72c | 145.65$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 58c | 130.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…cfc6backed Yes | 34c | 127.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 40c | 121.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 72c | 117.5$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2c…55cfbacked Yes | 22c | 112.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 69c | 112.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 100.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…a743backed Yes | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 76c | 96.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 35c | 96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 66c | 92.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 22c | 91.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes | 28c | 90.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 524 | 44.1%231 W · 293 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe094…11cdbacked Yes | 22c | 87.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 61c | 87.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…2155backed Yes | 35c | 85.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 26c | 79.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…7d58backed No | 60c | 74.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 23c | 74.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…9f16backed Yes | 29c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…43b9backed No | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 75c | 63.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 73c | 63.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 23c | 62.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 30c | 62.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a1…a85ebacked Yes | 48c | 62.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…a601backed No | 75c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 62c | 57.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…7191backed Yes | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 63c | 53.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…da1ebacked Yes | 35c | 53.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 73c | 52.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 66c | 50.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 189 | 48.1%91 W · 98 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 72c | 48.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 23c | 44.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7385…0c36backed No | 67c | 44.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…ff90backed Yes | 40c | 44.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 240 | 53.3%128 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…edf3backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 76c | 44.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 31c | 43.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…60d5backed Yes | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 60c | 41.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 65c | 40.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 63c | 40.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…4fefbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 75c | 38.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 72c | 34.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 61c | 34.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…1ffabacked No | 71c | 30.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed No | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 75c | 29.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 69c | 27.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…a95abacked No | 59c | 27.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 73c | 27.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…d8e2backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 77c | 22.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…8c1bbacked No | 70c | 21.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa921…f0eabacked No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 93 | 62.4%58 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 67c | 19.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 60c | 19.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 67c | 19.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…5865backed No | 75c | 18.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 69 | 81.2%56 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 67c | 17.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 72c | 16.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.