Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21c80eb83de949ea3847fd9562300862d70f4981423ce0c983485b4a022835e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7385…0c36backed No | 4c | 1,603$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 1c | 851.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed No | 6c | 545.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 65c | 387.82$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.32 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 43c | 315.41$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.84 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 47c | 310.62$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.32 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…a95abacked No | 11c | 296.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 20c | 281.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…c269backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 18c | 260$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked Yes | 79c | 236.05$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 38c | 224.94$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 6c | 208.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 61c | 207.77$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.49 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 41c | 185$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…6ca1backed No | 70c | 153.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 41c | 141.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 75c | 134$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 56c | 129.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…cfc6backed Yes | 35c | 127.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 65c | 118.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 117.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 39c | 116.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 17c | 110.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 63c | 107.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 22c | 104.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 21c | 104.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09c…682ebacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 37c | 96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 37c | 89.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…842cbacked No | 29c | 85.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed No | 56c | 85.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 13c | 79.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 61c | 63.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 25c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 77c | 57.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 36c | 56.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 55c | 55.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…f1bebacked No | 30c | 54.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…b7bfbacked No | 19c | 51.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x209a…1e37backed No | 25c | 51.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 64c | 51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed No | 60c | 49.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 21c | 49.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 32c | 49.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 40c | 44.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 51c | 42.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…4fefbacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 59c | 39.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 44c | 39.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 58c | 38.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 60c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 60c | 32.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 46c | 31.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f16…063dbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…a763backed No | 70c | 27.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed No | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa921…f0eabacked No | 59c | 25.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 93 | 62.4%58 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…ab1abacked No | 65c | 25.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 254 | 66.9%170 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes | 44c | 25.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 63c | 24.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 49c | 24.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 44c | 23.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…9f36backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…008abacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 59c | 19.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 72c | 18.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 80c | 14.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.