Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3cde051de2caa4536c5def43245454a94210c28dc5669ea4bdfeeac5c252bd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,192 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 1c | 20,395$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.14 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…cafdbacked No | 2c | 3,411$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 12c | 2,046$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.18 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…ad9dbacked No | 1c | 1,300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 44c | 832.76$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.77 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 8c | 570.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.63 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 37c | 562.46$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.17 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 56c | 548.04$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.48 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Yes | 30c | 534.3$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.27 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 10c | 504.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.93 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 3c | 478.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 12c | 404.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.37 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 14c | 403.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.09 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 35c | 372.94$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 25c | 372$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.7 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e8…630fbacked No | 3c | 350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 29c | 343.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 74c | 335.01$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.36 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 11c | 333$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.72 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…522abacked No | 6c | 332.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 47c | 312.28$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.23 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 4c | 310$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 398 | 10.8%43 W · 355 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 16c | 307.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 49c | 290.84$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.77 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 43c | 255$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1348…7037backed No | 48c | 244.46$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.14 | 176 | 65.9%116 W · 60 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d02…54b8backed Yes | 12c | 216.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.88 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…9dd0backed Yes | 26c | 204.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3487…11f5backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 13c | 197.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.9 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d0…2295backed Yes | 15c | 177.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.78 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 44c | 175$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…1fb7backed Yes | 23c | 173.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.41 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…0af2backed Yes | 66c | 152.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 59c | 150.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…4dadbacked Yes | 17c | 135.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c95…bb48backed Yes | 8c | 132.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…0b7ebacked Yes | 16c | 128.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf35c…a55ebacked Yes | 62c | 125$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 12c | 123.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.98 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…685abacked Yes | 18c | 121.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd802…d766backed Yes | 17c | 120.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 306 | 64.1%196 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 11c | 115.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…d4bcbacked Yes | 10c | 114.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 130 | 10.8%14 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 109.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 77c | 108.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 59c | 105.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 49c | 102.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…bf48backed Yes | 47c | 95.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…cf4bbacked Yes | 19c | 92.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 90.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…3acebacked Yes | 16c | 85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 268 | 27.2%73 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 18c | 84.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…b920backed Yes | 29c | 82.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 180 | 35%63 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0057…b1c7backed Yes | 16c | 82.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 148 | 26.4%39 W · 109 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 36c | 80.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 31c | 75.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 16c | 75.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 25c | 75.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8134…9b2dbacked Yes | 23c | 72.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 47c | 67.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 61c | 63.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 33c | 59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 45c | 55.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 22c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 60c | 54.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 54c | 54.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…464abacked No | 56c | 53.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 57c | 51.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdc…cb42backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab8…0eebbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…a977backed No | 63c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…d614backed Yes | 42c | 47.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…92e0backed Yes | 40c | 45.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75e…ca32backed Yes | 46c | 43.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 71c | 43.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 49c | 40.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed Yes | 44c | 40.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 59c | 39.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…d474backed No | 55c | 36.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…faa3backed No | 74c | 33.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a1…453fbacked No | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…2d4bbacked Yes | 43c | 29.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…b714backed No | 60c | 29.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 63c | 28.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2c…0746backed No | 66c | 24.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed No | 65c | 23.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 47c | 22.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a2…48c6backed No | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…571dbacked Yes | 47c | 21.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f2…e2d7backed Yes | 51c | 20.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151b…ef82backed No | 77c | 19.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9536…68f9backed No | 58c | 17.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.